TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0501…61ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
384
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST14542.8%62 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.02
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Predators vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Flames (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.13
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+272.8%+$42.27
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.48
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+354.5%+$88.64
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST3554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST3438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44
AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$37.12
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$14.75
Will AZ win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39.8
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.95
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Vejle BK win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will CD Nacional win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+270.4%+$54.75
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.4
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
SD Eibar vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.75
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)backed RCD Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$26.4
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+287.9%+$43.47
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.14
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25.9
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.5%+$18.81
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$13
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$64.4
Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.21
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.7%+$28.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$38.5
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.15
Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203.4%+$86.45
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-0.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22.75
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+244.8%+$24.85
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$39.36
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19.74
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+513.2%+$108.79
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$36.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100.6%+$38.64
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+104.3%+$20.93
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-74.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Partizan vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$13.92
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick35cpaid+191.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$47.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.