TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c21,846$7,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,365.1429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No69c21,245$14,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,684.226451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c10,123$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.5138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No68c8,550$5,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.952470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked No48c7,253$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,752.992065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed No68c5,770$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.391376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc129…989dbacked Yes2c5,703$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c5,616$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.8563346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70039842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes32c3,500$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c3,351$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.291,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6202552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9818160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c2,733$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.2822147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No75c2,666$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.62864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3754158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes49c2,140$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.0144033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c2,121$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.5958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No66c2,031$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8202842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes55c1,983$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.917146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No67c1,948$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.9139746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed Yes32c1,850$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No69c1,812$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.597542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes31c1,800$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5588151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c1,677$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.840222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No56c1,548$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.3137544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes10c1,388$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.118027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c1,339$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.7233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed No50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No62c1,002$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.945646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No67c999.88$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9619755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c955.42$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.241,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes43c781.05$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8520462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09c6…90ebbacked Yes59c726.75$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646a…3dafbacked No63c700$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes14c648.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes32c630$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.63740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes32c625.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes32c618.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes33c614.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes32c567.53$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.613135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No67c555$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.151553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes51c531.49$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.935860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes46c501.93$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3820343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4943…dd33backed Yes10c500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492425%6 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…eadabacked Yes16c493.47$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.32540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No62c460.74$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.928959.6%53 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No68c449.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.993132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes32c435.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.433432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No66c424$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1624047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes33c417$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6113238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12420667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes32c400$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7263…9422backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes33c382.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes53c377.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.917456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…4009backed No68c335$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes52c319$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.884746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No68c311.72$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7216853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes32c307.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006538.5%25 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9319344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes32c299.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked No49c299.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.993050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes54c299.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.812755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb950…102fbacked Yes21c272.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes32c263.16$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.212536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes33c255.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c5…e422backed Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes33c243.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.314242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed Yes33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No61c218.94$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.944254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No68c208.82$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.821353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x595f…41afbacked Yes32c200.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524269%29 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be2…5fa6backed Yes30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59850%4 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+152.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119624%23 W · 73 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes31c198.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.635453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.