TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7263…9422

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$6,785.63
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$891.84
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+523.9%+$251.86
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$381.82
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$414.29
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Wild vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+84.6%+$507.74
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$245.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grambling State Tigers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+105.5%+$105.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.