World Politics · resolved market
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4803f1ebb163af02026e4689b4bb498900ab7c4dbe230c332cf12f218e959a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,104,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,955,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,104,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,638 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 19c | 124,350$23,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,044.07 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 9c | 105,840$9,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,992.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…9188backed Yes | 33c | 98,774$32,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,736.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 17c | 82,790$13,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,843.02 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Yes | 31c | 70,690$21,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,677.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 21c | 63,066$13,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,336.15 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 31c | 57,948$17,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,869.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 35c | 46,083$16,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,279.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 22c | 42,822$9,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,581.77 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 36c | 41,171$14,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,731.81 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 21c | 36,548$7,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,758.79 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 20c | 35,144$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.75 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 7c | 34,861$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.73 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 30c | 31,726$9,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,623.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…a143backed Yes | 4c | 30,510$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…c5b0backed Yes | 35c | 28,611$9,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,982.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed Yes | 35c | 26,578$9,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,235.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…7ad0backed Yes | 42c | 25,997$10,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,983.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 35c | 25,192$8,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,695.89 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 2c | 24,287$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 16c | 20,940$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes | 4c | 20,510$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 6c | 20,503$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.3 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 30c | 20,039$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,031.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 35c | 19,732$6,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,860.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Yes | 36c | 19,520$7,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,005.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 8c | 19,206$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.82 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…68a9backed Yes | 5c | 18,746$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 12c | 18,447$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.87 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6df1backed Yes | 6c | 18,314$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c7…cc38backed Yes | 28c | 18,100$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…6221backed Yes | 27c | 18,100$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c6…0a29backed Yes | 1c | 18,079$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…fb79backed Yes | 27c | 17,980$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…9085backed Yes | 27c | 17,875$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…a9e8backed Yes | 15c | 17,703$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 30c | 17,682$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc39…80d9backed Yes | 28c | 17,300$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 10c | 17,017$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.85 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 29c | 16,779$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.73 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…784ebacked Yes | 15c | 16,421$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 9c | 16,260$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.45 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed Yes | 30c | 16,081$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Yes | 33c | 15,136$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 28c | 15,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…4ababacked Yes | 21c | 14,207$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 71c | 14,183$10,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.6 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 10c | 13,806$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.47 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…1b08backed Yes | 30c | 13,700$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…933cbacked Yes | 26c | 13,200$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed Yes | 35c | 12,805$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…67a8backed Yes | 3c | 12,803$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 27c | 12,774$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.73 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 27c | 12,723$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.53 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 10c | 12,623$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.8 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 29c | 12,569$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.79 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…47eabacked Yes | 27c | 12,500$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 14c | 12,276$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.77 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b0…083ebacked Yes | 33c | 12,119$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 8c | 11,500$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.49 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 21c | 11,094$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.59 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…db5fbacked Yes | 28c | 10,699$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 7c | 10,514$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.81 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4bb8backed No | 63c | 10,266$6,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 35c | 10,206$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 67c | 10,193$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.76 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…45b1backed Yes | 25c | 10,117$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…69fdbacked Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…2ed5backed Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…2093backed Yes | 29c | 9,931$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 9,572$6,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.52 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 20c | 9,120$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 31c | 9,105$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.17 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…7764backed Yes | 26c | 9,100$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Yes | 32c | 9,002$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 26c | 8,910$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.63 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…14ccbacked Yes | 16c | 8,777$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 24c | 8,518$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.34 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 30c | 8,179$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…642abacked No | 68c | 7,950$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ce…4c39backed Yes | 5c | 7,732$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.96 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,711$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 62c | 7,709$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.24 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…cf76backed No | 71c | 7,000$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…9187backed No | 73c | 7,000$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…77f1backed Yes | 27c | 6,898$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8315…55cfbacked No | 74c | 6,800$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,708$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.42 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…9733backed No | 71c | 6,700$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 22c | 6,698$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.63 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 4c | 6,623$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…1dc6backed Yes | 6c | 6,608$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6697…9e9fbacked No | 73c | 6,600$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 30c | 6,483$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…a353backed No | 73c | 6,400$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…483bbacked No | 73c | 6,400$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…61f6backed No | 74c | 6,400$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.