World Politics · resolved market
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ade676047c9b15c9e8a7ead24ae2a55935f00ebd3ead699b2c7f4dabeda52b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,223,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,154,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,223,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82ba…71e7backed Yes | 0c | 131,544$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 116,509$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.55 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 0c | 79,000$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…4d06backed Yes | 0c | 61,219$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…4708backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…4ababacked Yes | 1c | 43,574$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 4c | 43,000$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +2,378.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…4017backed Yes | 1c | 41,936$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…caffbacked Yes | 1c | 39,754$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…4875backed Yes | 2c | 36,873$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…5708backed Yes | 1c | 33,918$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…4b0abacked Yes | 1c | 31,380$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Yes | 6c | 30,105$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 27,805$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 27,560$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.07 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe5…8719backed Yes | 1c | 27,029$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…87d7backed Yes | 0c | 25,462$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 24,960$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…d869backed Yes | 1c | 24,806$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…b78bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,024$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 19,717$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…5813backed Yes | 1c | 18,632$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…5f76backed Yes | 1c | 18,494$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…d299backed Yes | 0c | 16,404$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074f…9525backed Yes | 1c | 15,624$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…85b2backed Yes | 5c | 14,154$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77f…47b0backed Yes | 1c | 14,069$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…75c6backed Yes | 1c | 13,396$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…c09fbacked Yes | 3c | 12,359$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…a2d5backed Yes | 1c | 12,291$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…3437backed Yes | 5c | 11,902$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e11…1b7abacked Yes | 1c | 11,831$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…b53dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…7f38backed Yes | 3c | 11,225$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ef…31a0backed Yes | 4c | 11,024$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +130%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…7aaabacked Yes | 0c | 10,776$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…5fb7backed Yes | 1c | 10,517$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…2afdbacked Yes | 1c | 10,474$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes | 1c | 10,364$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…62adbacked Yes | 3c | 10,167$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…483abacked Yes | 1c | 9,345$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…e5b6backed Yes | 4c | 9,154$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…881cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,921$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…50dbbacked Yes | 2c | 8,396$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…5222backed Yes | 2c | 7,541$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78f…79c6backed Yes | 1c | 7,395$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,282$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…9e18backed Yes | 1c | 7,050$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,503$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…b9d6backed Yes | 2c | 6,205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,999$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…910ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,980$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 7c | 5,716$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.25 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…4f80backed Yes | 0c | 5,601$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed Yes | 1c | 5,544$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6806…cd3dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,339$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +169.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…c4e4backed Yes | 3c | 5,250$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…256cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…4944backed Yes | 3c | 4,837$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 0c | 4,756$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…9806backed Yes | 2c | 4,573$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…467bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,545$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…2abdbacked Yes | 6c | 4,459$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.23 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,363$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,343$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 1c | 4,256$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 1c | 4,076$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f0…583dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…79edbacked Yes | 1c | 3,986$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4034…733ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,904$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…78c9backed Yes | 1c | 3,674$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x580c…a352backed Yes | 4c | 3,614$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 1c | 3,560$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…76a6backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad0…5d25backed Yes | 2c | 3,429$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…f487backed Yes | 1c | 3,234$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…53bebacked Yes | 1c | 3,220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…12edbacked Yes | 5c | 3,060$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 2c | 3,008$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Yes | 3c | 2,987$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…9f29backed Yes | 2c | 2,955$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…5fe4backed Yes | 1c | 2,885$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…0000backed Yes | 0c | 2,877$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c96…a9febacked Yes | 2c | 2,875$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…a97dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,806$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…71b5backed Yes | 1c | 2,784$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…1d3bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,744$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…ff8fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,733$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…09a9backed Yes | 0c | 2,727$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…6269backed Yes | 5c | 2,680$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…119fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,648$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7f…d408backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…f08dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,469$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…c280backed Yes | 1c | 2,351$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…bbf2backed Yes | 0c | 2,341$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…17c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,341$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.