World Politics · resolved market
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3d631bd9ccd7d044eea6cba1ee8ae44e852b8a085a40dd64796ea03a2f3ca20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,409,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $764,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,409,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7265…e943backed Yes | 1c | 68,970$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 64,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a9…92d5backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…2325backed Yes | 1c | 45,833$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 41,680$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 40,429$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 1c | 29,095$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +1,419.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b7…b8c5backed Yes | 1c | 23,532$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3d…83f8backed Yes | 1c | 22,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc90a…b957backed Yes | 1c | 21,977$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66f…843fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,354$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 21,298$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,096$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 1c | 17,253$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…5473backed Yes | 2c | 16,938$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…e101backed Yes | 1c | 16,805$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 15,095$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 1c | 14,130$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 0c | 13,300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ce…4c39backed Yes | 1c | 12,181$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…645dbacked Yes | 1c | 12,057$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…c348backed Yes | 3c | 11,308$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…4a4abacked Yes | 1c | 11,255$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 2c | 10,764$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…fcdbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,469$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…c17ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,269$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 9,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…2995backed Yes | 1c | 9,369$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked Yes | 0c | 9,325$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…694dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78f…79c6backed Yes | 1c | 9,050$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d5…54c7backed Yes | 2c | 8,945$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…2fbebacked Yes | 0c | 8,493$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…e5babacked Yes | 1c | 7,925$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…3de0backed Yes | 0c | 7,845$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…b8d7backed Yes | 1c | 6,378$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…cb14backed Yes | 1c | 6,151$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…2bf6backed Yes | 1c | 6,107$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 1c | 6,016$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…dfc1backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,735$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 5,650$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f06dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,650$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…c58abacked Yes | 1c | 5,501$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…291abacked Yes | 1c | 4,762$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…7d46backed Yes | 0c | 4,485$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…87a6backed Yes | 2c | 4,194$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…1d3ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,658$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 3,376$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…589cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…bc49backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…404ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,859$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…84a5backed Yes | 2c | 2,809$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf1…3a8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,571$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa3…da37backed Yes | 1c | 2,230$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebd…cb20backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…5f98backed Yes | 1c | 1,810$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…db6dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,646$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…e05abacked Yes | 2c | 1,434$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…51f2backed Yes | 1c | 1,330$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…b7acbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…5aacbacked Yes | 1c | 1,242$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 1c | 1,212$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…8b5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,122$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…a72ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…117abacked Yes | 2c | 1,073$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…28fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…17febacked Yes | 1c | 673.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…5e9bbacked Yes | 3c | 373.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6949…e388backed Yes | 5c | 195$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.