World Politics · resolved market
Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95cd4c94d41a90675ca1126ede589ac27a99586e51236b0bc8d12daf170be697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 28,100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2e…cdf0backed Yes | 0c | 17,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…c076backed Yes | 7c | 17,529$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…f63cbacked Yes | 7c | 15,169$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…53d8backed Yes | 0c | 11,367$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…5daebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…2bf6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…f358backed Yes | 0c | 8,789$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…36d9backed Yes | 7c | 5,988$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…89a6backed Yes | 2c | 5,689$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…556dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,028$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…fa54backed Yes | 0c | 4,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,117$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…2ec3backed Yes | 7c | 3,443$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…3393backed Yes | 4c | 3,361$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…687cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,334$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…220cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,244$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…36afbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3381backed Yes | 7c | 2,874$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…eacbbacked Yes | 0c | 2,734$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…e130backed Yes | 6c | 2,163$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…4fd0backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…1bf6backed Yes | 3c | 1,512$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…c0dabacked Yes | 6c | 843.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…b730backed Yes | 3c | 790.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed Yes | 7c | 542.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…d35bbacked Yes | 6c | 519.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 4c | 513.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…a59ebacked Yes | 7c | 446.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…9806backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa765…8d55backed Yes | 6c | 369.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…ffabbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…81b5backed Yes | 7c | 294.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…5eabbacked Yes | 7c | 273.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…a72ebacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…ea93backed Yes | 8c | 212.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…a390backed Yes | 6c | 194.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87cc…0b12backed Yes | 6c | 175.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Yes | 12c | 169.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…d1e2backed Yes | 7c | 169.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…bd3ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.