TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,377,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,377,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c57,528$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.184121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c52,476$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.384521.1%5 W · 447 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+156.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2031…2325backed Yes0c44,981$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.96633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-56.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c39,997$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x084d…fbaabacked Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a28…5c15backed Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ae…0ce4backed Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe862…ed51backed Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a23…1cf3backed Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e2…12cebacked Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61b…9251backed Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6334…fd15backed Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe1…509abacked Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705a…3483backed Yes0c39,940$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb260…c107backed Yes0c39,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c7…4c44backed Yes0c39,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac2a…a4e9backed Yes0c39,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0014…88b4backed Yes0c39,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe503…402bbacked Yes0c39,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f2…2ed0backed Yes0c39,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a59…bae1backed Yes0c39,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…c0a9backed Yes0c39,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b4…1bf8backed Yes0c39,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe775…d176backed Yes0c36,545$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8211…b8ebbacked Yes0c36,545$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd3…71dbbacked Yes0c36,440$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1c…b46ebacked Yes0c36,440$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…9d45backed Yes0c36,440$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9e…7843backed Yes0c36,440$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be1…c356backed Yes0c36,415$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa31d…6b1cbacked Yes0c36,315$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc434…b019backed Yes0c36,008$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c31,829$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.66684.4%3 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+417.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2019…abc5backed Yes0c30,285$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed5…d949backed Yes0c30,279$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5f…f6a4backed Yes0c29,390$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…4f27backed Yes0c28,486$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64b…f5eabacked Yes0c27,806$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6508…a95abacked Yes0c27,806$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117a…bad6backed Yes0c27,806$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21bc…bff8backed Yes0c27,806$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf2…1109backed Yes0c27,806$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6caa…8459backed Yes0c27,806$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13c…ce22backed Yes0c27,806$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe426…b972backed Yes0c27,806$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc966…0bd7backed Yes0c27,619$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499c…6e61backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9547…81c7backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e7…3a1cbacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3573…a408backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccad…dec7backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0999…e8d1backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee3…b0e9backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f2…9552backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd510…0d17backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3549…a833backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930a…f55bbacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25eb…b02abacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3662…e147backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435f…ccfbbacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf6…addbbacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd7…362fbacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e5…1d76backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7806…a3d6backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…f19dbacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6797…a53cbacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5747…769dbacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e1…88eebacked Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197e…65d3backed Yes0c27,325$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c27,314$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.543614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe69b…fc8bbacked Yes0c27,231$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d21…4b9dbacked Yes0c26,050$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x496d…3fd4backed Yes0c25,352$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb628…fd9fbacked Yes0c25,094$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb811…773fbacked Yes0c24,724$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3e…6bebbacked Yes0c23,710$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c7…63d3backed Yes0c23,688$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fda…eb1fbacked Yes0c23,142$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76a…3ac6backed Yes0c21,102$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7d…6df4backed Yes0c21,050$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3f7…a7edbacked Yes0c19,736$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc90a…b957backed Yes1c19,362$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5049…2b1abacked Yes0c18,280$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab5b…9b26backed Yes0c17,765$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a4…50c3backed Yes0c17,406$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c52…0e91backed Yes0c16,667$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ce…4c39backed Yes0c16,596$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.39258%2 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-75.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes1c16,028$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100895.6%5 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-90.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Yes2c15,879$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.12837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick14cpaid+454.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc595…3a3fbacked Yes0c15,466$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5a…3d19backed Yes0c15,290$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.58825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-38%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd6…e9bebacked Yes0c15,181$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b5…3171backed Yes0c14,616$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b4…982dbacked Yes0c14,290$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd684…f545backed Yes0c13,967$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f21…16b0backed Yes0c13,600$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Yes0c13,507$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.89119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-87.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6779…0400backed Yes1c13,393$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002722.2%6 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…5b86backed Yes0c13,223$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.