TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c66…6b66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
309
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Olympics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST684.4%3 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+417.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$66.42
Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$297.06
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$474.09
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$347.64
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$279.11
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$363.38
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$109.91
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.66
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$379.57
Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$298.04
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$356.14
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$278.45
Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$402.79
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.51
Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.33
Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.58
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+34,742.9%+$5,730.49
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+175.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,544.11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+7,615.2%+$55,537.33
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,288.79
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$209.43
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.06
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,365.45
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$3,961.8
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$992.89
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$654.75
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,419.72
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26.91
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,380.79
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16,371.53
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,081.81
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$856.16
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10,449.72
Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$79,911.33
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$7,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$7,782.85
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17,854.33
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$43,042.64
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$67,463.23
Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,850.06
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35,808.49
Will Racing Bulls finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,869.42
F1 season canceled or other team wins?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.88
Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.5
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$406.2
Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.22
Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$310.06
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,900.99
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$720.02
Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$255.71
Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.4
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.37
Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$638.21
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.01
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$9,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,037.96
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,317.77
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,117.13
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,655
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,115.7
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$6,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,412.57
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,925.69
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$6,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,075.77
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$6,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,570.12
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$5,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,111.29
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,157.83
Will Mavericks fire GM Nico Harrison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.54
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$631.1
Will the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.19
Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$244.98
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will another player lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$87.3
Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.02
Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.15
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 25 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick3cpaid-63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,192.17
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.43
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,588.32
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.04
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,832.12
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.77
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$901.61
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$846.93
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$29.86
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+366.5%+$170.15
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.54
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.91
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.21
Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.54
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$274
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-92.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.09
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.41
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.4
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,028.61
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.46
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,029.93
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.83
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$802.5
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12,234.35
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,732.54
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,489.17
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$28.02
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.28
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.43
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$33.86
Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,208.08
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.17
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.51
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.58
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.91
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.09
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.53
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$576.53
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$301.62
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,530.99
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$627.52
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$648.61
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$822.74
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$447.93
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$881.33
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$733.22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,610.4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,961.02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,731.29
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$249.69
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$138.79
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$313.85
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105,137.03
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$89,335.78
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$31,418.91
Will the ECB announce an increase at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.25
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.87
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,055.64
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,345.57
Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$602.14
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.89
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+1,245%+$6,317.24
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.62
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$401
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.99
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.39
Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.52
Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.34
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$116.3
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in Home Runs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cal Raleigh lead the MLB in Home Runs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+235.7%+$115.84
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.67
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.61
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.11
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,557.54
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$181.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.97
Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Solana dip to $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.62
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Solana dip to $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.36
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leon Draisaitl win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.62
Will Connor Hellebuyck win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+109.4%+$233.72
Will Quinn Hughes win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.65
Will Cale Makar win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Connor McDavid win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.43
Will Jack Eichel win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Kyle Connor win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will the Golden Knights win the 2025 Preident's Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+78.7%+$84.98
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick41cpaid+103.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89.09
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$74
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+164.3%+$37.3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+172%+$192.85
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+184.8%+$29.2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,848.12
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.55
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.19
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.24
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,525.03
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.08
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$158.12
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$135.81
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,227.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.04
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.38
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$829.33
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.11
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.26
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.74
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.44
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casper Ruud win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,484.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.