TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,229,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,272,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,229,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e9c…6421backed Yes0c750,981$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.6390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c593,656$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.97362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-91.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c390,392$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80314315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c302,371$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.98160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c247,360$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.72651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c225,402$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.61219.5%2 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick3cpaid-63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes0c211,995$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.67296.9%2 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-86.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d50…b166backed Yes0c119,954$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.58210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c99,999$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes0c99,997$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9980%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c79,999$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180561.8%1 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…35f4backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes0c49,999$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+272%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c39,639$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.518122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes1c31,807$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.87723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3797…efeabacked Yes0c30,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes0c26,667$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c25,940$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1522927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x943f…43a7backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+412.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c24,500$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa1…7c65backed Yes0c22,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0873…09e8backed Yes0c20,110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc171…aa19backed Yes0c20,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c16,800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c16,800$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfdb…d762backed Yes0c16,507$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a48…497ebacked Yes1c16,090$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591735.3%6 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick11cpaid+136.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a4e…179ebacked Yes0c16,062$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes1c15,000$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0414835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa719…0f74backed Yes0c14,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c12,901$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.587416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c11,350$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…17c5backed Yes0c11,263$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.04190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes0c11,100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3230%0 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eda…1c80backed Yes0c10,650$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4089…99d5backed Yes0c10,333$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a5…f8d1backed Yes1c10,105$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c5…1127backed Yes0c10,100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10254%1 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-91.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f8…32f9backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes0c9,918$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84616.7%1 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick1cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes1c9,800$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.54012.5%5 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfa…b205backed Yes0c9,650$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…0002backed Yes0c9,400$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…9e24backed Yes0c9,259$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c9,150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2ca…f513backed Yes0c8,655$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0104…0cdfbacked Yes1c8,638$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd6…d3c9backed Yes0c8,513$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f1…80f2backed Yes0c8,333$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333%1 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid+152.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes0c8,150$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc29…f1bbbacked Yes1c8,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes0c7,872$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.516334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked Yes0c7,600$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+451.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes1c7,008$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.052412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+224.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c52…cd00backed Yes0c6,997$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2506…93cabacked Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf883…115cbacked Yes0c6,666$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4db…dcc7backed Yes0c6,600$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…7034backed Yes1c5,761$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.33283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea4…dd30backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…944dbacked Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f24…a7fcbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+446.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd815…a05abacked Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c62…cd27backed Yes0c4,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6402…a05bbacked Yes0c4,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…030abacked Yes0c4,298$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes1c4,254$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa949…e7bebacked Yes0c4,250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe11…990bbacked Yes0c4,250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes0c4,022$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.07300%0 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8646…76e1backed Yes0c3,990$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88d…2f65backed Yes0c3,953$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae5…579dbacked Yes0c3,917$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a69…fc08backed Yes0c3,917$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd334…5f29backed Yes0c3,887$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd0…fdf1backed Yes0c3,863$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4596…bcc1backed Yes0c3,713$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c3,516$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.43673%2 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf727…b917backed Yes0c3,477$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1342…72d8backed Yes0c3,370$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes0c3,196$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53533.8%2 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3262…f17dbacked Yes0c2,673$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e0…2b86backed Yes0c2,663$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f1…0492backed Yes0c2,605$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1c…7fd5backed Yes1c2,570$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369b…35d1backed Yes1c2,560$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fe…8a18backed Yes1c2,530$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f80…2804backed Yes1c2,500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.322917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes1c2,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes1c2,390$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.65333%1 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-44.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c2,385$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+202.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes1c2,311$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32504%2 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b11…8963backed Yes1c2,222$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8646…ed78backed Yes1c1,874$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes1c1,267$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…909cbacked Yes1c999$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.