Music · resolved market
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79bc9eae1f5ce8f3f58648f45e7ff7cf182a8314e2d1a5b536520c5cc4b3e097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,941,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,991,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,941,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 327,700$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.49 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 154,376$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.39 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked Yes | 1c | 101,253$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.77 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…d0b7backed Yes | 2c | 86,029$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 76,638$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.33 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 69,796$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.2 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 2c | 69,768$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.38 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 3c | 68,411$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.65 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 3c | 67,594$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.26 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 1c | 61,626$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…893dbacked Yes | 1c | 60,315$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…d0febacked Yes | 1c | 58,179$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 1c | 54,591$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.94 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 48,575$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.31 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 44,313$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.96 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 3c | 41,743$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.12 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…c145backed Yes | 1c | 40,931$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.91 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 2c | 40,000$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.69 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…1c82backed Yes | 1c | 39,998$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 39,419$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…126dbacked Yes | 3c | 37,307$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.87 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 1c | 33,330$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.63 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 2c | 32,884$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +1,766.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 1c | 31,018$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…034cbacked Yes | 3c | 30,429$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 30,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 1c | 30,005$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.29 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 2c | 29,457$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.92 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 2c | 28,698$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.06 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 24,899$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.62 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 2c | 24,761$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.86 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 24,222$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.7 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 23,121$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Yes | 1c | 21,038$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 20,991$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.56 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…6d3cbacked Yes | 1c | 18,182$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…acd8backed Yes | 2c | 17,894$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 1c | 17,431$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.49 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…87cbbacked Yes | 1c | 15,293$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 2c | 14,885$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +817.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…b2eabacked Yes | 0c | 14,619$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 13,389$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.66 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 1c | 13,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 3c | 13,327$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…e38bbacked Yes | 1c | 13,264$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 12,942$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.61 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…b4cabacked Yes | 1c | 12,347$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 1c | 12,172$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…6b90backed Yes | 3c | 11,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 2c | 11,627$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.27 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 11,428$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.78 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 11,418$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 1c | 11,261$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 11,210$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.33 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 3c | 11,179$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.4 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes | 0c | 10,644$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Yes | 2c | 10,518$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,429$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +451.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 2c | 9,539$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 2c | 9,293$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef7…ae00backed Yes | 1c | 8,988$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 4c | 8,659$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.68 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes | 2c | 8,521$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…1095backed Yes | 1c | 8,411$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 3c | 8,254$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.09 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…77cdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,703$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…3e4abacked Yes | 1c | 7,692$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Yes | 1c | 7,692$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5c…f7e9backed Yes | 1c | 7,333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…666ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f0…4ab3backed Yes | 1c | 7,236$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 2c | 7,236$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 2c | 7,013$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…cf55backed Yes | 1c | 6,633$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 2c | 6,120$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…4e93backed Yes | 3c | 6,100$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…ed51backed Yes | 1c | 6,092$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 3c | 6,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 1c | 5,608$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed Yes | 2c | 5,516$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf06…0397backed Yes | 1c | 5,165$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…fc59backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…bc60backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…2824backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…2ce1backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280a…87fcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,774$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,743$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 4,529$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…06f9backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…04adbacked Yes | 1c | 4,250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,243$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 1c | 4,209$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,184$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb613…fc65backed Yes | 1c | 4,180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…2444backed Yes | 1c | 4,167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 1c | 4,160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…2a8dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.