Music · resolved market
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1e7c5497dcdc8e923a02f9ed7f9157833994b95a2640dd6d0318ac4f8409fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,313,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,209,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,313,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 289,624$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.2 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 1c | 235,237$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.56 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 191,292$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.22 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 179,719$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.25 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…38dfbacked Yes | 0c | 101,509$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…d4f8backed Yes | 1c | 101,507$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…a39fbacked Yes | 1c | 99,345$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 2c | 90,960$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.37 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 90,173$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.21 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 1c | 90,088$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.06 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…aca1backed Yes | 1c | 71,839$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 70,100$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 61,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 1c | 55,439$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.7 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked Yes | 0c | 51,878$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 46,153$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 1c | 44,959$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.03 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 37,335$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.08 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 37,102$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 37,078$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.15 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 35,671$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…6a50backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd9…66c0backed Yes | 0c | 30,077$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…f906backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…48b7backed Yes | 0c | 25,827$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…5d5ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,148$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 21,883$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.95 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 0c | 20,646$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…4344backed Yes | 1c | 20,395$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +1,415.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +1,685.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 2c | 18,846$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.53 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…9682backed Yes | 1c | 16,022$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 15,339$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…28a8backed Yes | 1c | 13,376$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…d6c9backed Yes | 0c | 13,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 13,294$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…e1ddbacked Yes | 1c | 13,290$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 1c | 12,827$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,540$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +451.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a61…94f0backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 1c | 12,321$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 1c | 11,497$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 10,897$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 0cpaid | +1,986.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,810$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…df5abacked Yes | 0c | 10,667$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 10,335$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e9…f300backed Yes | 1c | 10,220$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…f10cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,210$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…66a6backed Yes | 1c | 10,170$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e4…faf1backed Yes | 1c | 10,120$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…3041backed Yes | 1c | 10,114$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…6d8abacked Yes | 1c | 10,100$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 9,831$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddac…c144backed Yes | 1c | 8,549$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +939.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes | 0c | 8,479$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 1c | 8,474$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…1469backed Yes | 1c | 8,213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 1c | 8,045$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +412.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…06edbacked Yes | 0c | 7,829$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 2cpaid | +491.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 3c | 7,684$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +163%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…47cabacked Yes | 2c | 7,655$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +377.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 1c | 7,561$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 1c | 7,481$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…3b70backed Yes | 1c | 7,461$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b63…55fcbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…6376backed Yes | 0c | 6,986$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 1c | 6,551$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…d85dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,173$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 1c | 6,110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +846.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…e1f9backed Yes | 1c | 6,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 5,926$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,713$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +817.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes | 1c | 5,629$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 2cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3057backed Yes | 1c | 5,410$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…02c1backed Yes | 1c | 5,382$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…d6f4backed Yes | 1c | 5,264$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…d1c1backed Yes | 1c | 5,263$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…c248backed Yes | 1c | 5,060$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…aad7backed Yes | 1c | 5,059$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…e19dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,050$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…f578backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…c49fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes | 1c | 4,873$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 4,795$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 1cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 1c | 4,656$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…6a0abacked Yes | 0c | 4,557$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1a19backed Yes | 1c | 4,518$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…996cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…6a84backed Yes | 1c | 4,444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac30…bbc7backed Yes | 1c | 4,386$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,363$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 0c | 4,322$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d92…2451backed Yes | 2c | 4,320$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.