TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,005,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,338,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,005,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c1,108,925$4,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.17219.5%2 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick3cpaid-63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c533,060$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.18362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-91.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c242,832$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.37651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes0c194,471$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.44296.9%2 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-86.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c189,549$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.55214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-89.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c181,397$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.195111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c171,553$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6622927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c151,041$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.127425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c138,702$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2514315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes1c105,234$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.41417.3%3 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-79.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa454…a549backed Yes0c101,023$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Yes0c101,000$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d50…b166backed Yes0c95,701$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes0c85,945$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.897416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes0c82,998$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+272%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes0c70,768$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.258140.7%33 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes1c69,262$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes0c59,135$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.417626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c56,271$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.351478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes0c54,772$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.77254%1 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-91.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9e…2264backed Yes0c52,625$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-72.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes0c50,980$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c49,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c47,469$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.948122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5e…3d71backed Yes0c44,332$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.843928.2%11 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+345.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0283…bd62backed Yes1c41,400$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c39,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100561.8%1 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…09fcbacked Yes0c36,890$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc5…9354backed Yes0c35,340$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3560…7585backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3797…efeabacked Yes0c30,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e0…38dfbacked Yes1c29,164$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes0c26,932$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8680%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de8…76babacked Yes0c26,169$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d7…e943backed Yes0c25,500$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes1c25,130$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.65210%0 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943f…43a7backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+412.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a42…fab9backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid-51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa1…7c65backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes0c22,821$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4716334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes0c20,604$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.232412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+224.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406943.5%30 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes0c19,951$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+1,685.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a8…5bacbacked Yes1c18,200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick14cpaid+582.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Yes0c16,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a70…a50bbacked Yes0c16,035$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.73147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c15,850$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551b…ce3bbacked Yes0c14,910$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ece…3ad0backed Yes0c14,603$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c13,950$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfa…b205backed Yes0c13,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649e…018ebacked Yes0c13,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40210%0 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c13,100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c12,250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes1c12,034$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f24…a7fcbacked Yes0c11,400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.51421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+446.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfdb…d762backed Yes0c11,341$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.63100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes0c11,100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b9e…53c2backed Yes0c10,589$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+1,962.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ff…b114backed Yes0c10,575$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe876…1d22backed Yes0c10,243$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d2…7333backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes0c9,230$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+134.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes0c9,167$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes0c9,097$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+296.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…9e24backed Yes0c9,012$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f1…1093backed Yes0c9,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-63.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba5…b29dbacked Yes0c8,888$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.66425%1 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick1cpaid+2,172.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes0c8,406$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.623020%6 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes0c8,333$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f1…80f2backed Yes0c8,333$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333%1 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid+152.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes0c8,233$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.47128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+846.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa719…0f74backed Yes0c7,800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes0c7,701$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.646520%13 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x272f…164fbacked Yes0c7,675$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e9…fec1backed Yes0c7,671$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ae…7412backed Yes0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick0cpaid+1,986.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e79…af9ebacked Yes0c7,494$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8943…3be1backed Yes0c7,463$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.141612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+414.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c7,450$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes0c7,371$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.11300%0 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6432…8616backed Yes1c7,144$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a87…c533backed Yes1c7,036$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0114…fbfabacked Yes0c7,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked Yes0c7,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+451.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9f…a24fbacked Yes1c6,919$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…17c5backed Yes0c6,700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eda…1c80backed Yes0c6,597$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.69180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes1c6,579$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.882810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+174.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd5…63ebbacked Yes1c6,309$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c5…1127backed Yes0c6,270$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.38180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d6…893dbacked Yes0c6,150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4570%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes0c6,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8334…9e6fbacked Yes1c5,649$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7965…d310backed Yes0c5,575$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1232…39cdbacked Yes0c5,560$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf883…115cbacked Yes0c5,555$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772c…0151backed Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+227%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…7034backed Yes1c5,472$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.27283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8d…0002backed Yes0c5,450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.