TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf595…bfb5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,254.35
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,887.5
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,892.5
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187.5
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,111.25
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,090
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,760
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,650
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,472.69
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63%+$1,670.18
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,737Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$10,453.97
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$8,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,893.57
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$7,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,159.99
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,340
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,910
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,961Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+237.7%+$7,038.71
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+525%+$2,100
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+751.1%+$8,824.98
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.23
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$840.19
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$300.56
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,579.88
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$2,431.31
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$377
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,570.63
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,965.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$8,096.4
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,785
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+204.7%+$13,156.85
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,050
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$321.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,681Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$1,485.16
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,616
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,290
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,579.99
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.7
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,249.98
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$720
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$990
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,624Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,276
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$901
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$690
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$260
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$486
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$208
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$101.2
Spread: Jaguars (-12.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$450
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$184
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,281.16
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,595
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,800
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10,509Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+366.7%+$38,535.91
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,280
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.75
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.99
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,775
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$585
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$10,000
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,692.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$770
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,543Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$2,757.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$330.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.