TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c27,208$13,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,603.832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over46c19,624$9,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,027.191,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c10,543$5,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,089.0364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.953467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over48c8,523$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.5523742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under52c7,548$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,623.2211137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over47c6,661$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.6220155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under53c6,038$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.7814842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Over50c5,513$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.322343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over48c5,500$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9686641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under51c5,072$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.189945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over48c5,000$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c4,986$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.9855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under54c4,375$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.335269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over49c4,142$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.1743438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88018444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c3,608$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.761,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over47c3,176$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4803729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under53c2,952$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.3756453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Under54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.782356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c2,470$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.4869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under52c2,154$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.521,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ee…5506backed Over47c2,140$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c2,116$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.171,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over47c2,040$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.2219959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over49c2,000$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97211757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over20c1,970$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.121,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1923…7879backed Over50c1,963$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,699$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c1,416$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.61,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over46c1,300$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.9568944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Under54c1,296$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.38844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over50c1,186$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.1414731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c1,051$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.2852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under53c1,040$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.1912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…f554backed Under51c1,010$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over22c1,008$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.762,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over50c840.44$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2250954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over50c828.88$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.4415649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3b…07f7backed Over46c804$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.843850%19 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3925937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Over23c710$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.72748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Under54c699.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.993743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…ed3dbacked Under52c670$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over46c666.08$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.43935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over49c641.81$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.435129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x512c…58b3backed Over50c620.6$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.360%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Under53c560.37$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.374540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over46c530.31$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9518235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c516$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.366,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d09…f7e1backed Over50c489.34$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb2…c37cbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007550.7%38 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Over50c394$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1976943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad5…c7bebacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over6c381.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over8c374.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over47c370.21$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over47c357.5$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Over48c354.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over49c337.39$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.325940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c326.34$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over46c326.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Under50c321.25$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6211447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.125440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Under51c294.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb076…2f98backed Over50c256.23$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.122955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over49c256$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4417247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11514039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0833…97d2backed Over48c248.64$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48e…1dfcbacked Over50c246.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+99.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c217.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.531,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c212.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.331,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9213133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9818850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba23…6c72backed Under55c197.31$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Over50c196.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2523051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0847048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c191.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over47c186.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.684643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Under54c176.28$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.092740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Over49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc388…f7b5backed Under51c148.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+66.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b4…6f5bbacked Over50c139.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4798…1920backed Over50c135.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.