TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b3b…07f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.66
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.44
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$99
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.7
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.38
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.98
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.6
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$223.09
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.84
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$171.08
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.38
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.19
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800.3
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.1
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$585.69
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.37
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$206.74
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$534.85
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$514.49
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.96
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$162
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.02
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$671.69
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.56
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+252.6%+$100.01
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.24
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$279.6
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.95
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$36.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$22.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$336.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.