NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe310a00f3490245cfe318e5ef27904491a060e0b0eb6218f6b8ddda5ae52c762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Under | 79c | 9,425$7,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,443.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Over | 27c | 8,000$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,842.12 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 21c | 7,060$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.02 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 71c | 2,174$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.19 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…0453backed Under | 26c | 1,534$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 63c | 1,310$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 21c | 1,282$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.89 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Over | 18c | 1,133$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.22 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 26c | 1,123$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.24 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over | 68c | 759.02$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.28 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 74c | 727.48$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.36 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 683.24$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.81 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 21c | 661.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.9 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 27c | 641.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 33c | 606.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 75c | 572$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +217.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 18c | 544.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 62c | 433.38$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.19 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 399.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 77c | 376.56$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.24 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 29c | 367.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.52 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 23c | 328.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 32c | 307.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 79c | 307$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 33c | 273.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…8c7fbacked Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 25cpaid | +308.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 43c | 248.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 240.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 71c | 240$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 206.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bedabacked Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 22c | 189.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 74c | 175.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 21c | 158.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 157.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Over | 28c | 139.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 36c | 124$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 80c | 89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 78c | 85.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 25c | 83.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 31c | 78.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 79c | 74.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 34c | 73.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 31c | 71.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Under | 35c | 71.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 75c | 69.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 37c | 69.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 74c | 52.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 33c | 42.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Under | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 46c | 31.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 79c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 34c | 30.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 28.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 80c | 28.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 52c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…1179backed Under | 76c | 16.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f09…4f73backed Under | 78c | 13.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…8731backed Under | 78c | 13.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…0b4bbacked Under | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.