TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Under47c71,846$33,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,586.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under46c59,357$27,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,304.122334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over54c50,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,999.972147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over53c37,266$19,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,537.811,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under45c34,036$15,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,316.121637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c23,609$12,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,851.728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over55c22,026$12,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,914.271681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over54c18,636$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,635.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under66c11,697$7,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,672.8558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c9,522$4,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,647.1741842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c9,056$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.7989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c7,347$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.5411952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec9…bedabacked Over59c6,632$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c6,110$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.7861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over53c4,750$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8403756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c3,199$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.2613841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under46c2,621$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.294542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c2,457$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.7933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under46c2,217$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.856841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.991,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under45c1,893$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.8961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over48c1,675$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.441154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under46c1,616$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over55c1,615$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.773666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over31c1,575$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.712454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,400$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.7276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Under42c1,221$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c1,141$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under58c1,052$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.1822250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over53c999.96$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.985954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over30c980.24$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.194351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over27c974$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.91,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c893.15$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.852755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under47c879.99$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.43641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under58c869.49$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under48c866.25$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.84355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Under51c821.98$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab0…7147backed Under48c812.5$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over59c800$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.2618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under57c786.34$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0112733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under60c782.63$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.643,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under4c763.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over41c757.56$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1512357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under28c750.03$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.144136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.749457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Over41c740.17$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.913831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c694.95$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9314254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over31c637.24$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over30c625$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.661478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Over43c622.74$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.51450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over45c619.49$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.12462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under54c612.4$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.5425345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under46c582.17$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.86847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under61c566.21$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.335141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Under47c563.83$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357925.3%20 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Under47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Under47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under63c484.19$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.192,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over44c474.95$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ef6…43f4backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over54c454.54$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.094100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over46c435.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over36c410.79$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.591861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under45c386.55$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9518453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c371.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9842948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over33c370.55$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.917265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under58c355.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4534547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under42c353.27$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.841,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under65c332.07$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.852951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under42c316.44$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1814347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Under48c300.77$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Over70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over31c283.94$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.319844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over47c283$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.993151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+195.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over55c281.82$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.829846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Over56c268.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.264858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Over44c260.33$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under54c258$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4141050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under43c254.38$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.382365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over57c254.38$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.38560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+138.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c253.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8417248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over32c250.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8610166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c240.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.776450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under47c221.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Over54c207.04$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.263455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9324350.2%122 W · 121 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over54c183$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.186100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over31c178.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+145.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over32c170.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+227.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.