TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfed8…4388backed Under61c50,720$30,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,876.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c20,031$8,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,668.1341842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over39c19,845$7,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,135.0811952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over40c11,333$4,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,811.1528749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under58c8,752$5,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,076.2512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over43c8,672$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,942.971681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over39c6,783$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.4261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c5,600$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.514254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under57c4,264$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over40c3,062$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.0538147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over19c2,153$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over39c1,946$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c1,944$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.611,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under57c1,860$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.1961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under62c1,612$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.442147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under58c1,393$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over39c1,365$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.8859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under61c1,320$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.63641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over6c1,222$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.8499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…2095backed Under57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c1,200$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.3876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed Under62c1,145$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under59c1,018$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab0…7147backed Under61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over39c945.6$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.7314653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over55c937.72$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.081478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over38c915.97$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.363,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over32c915.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.362951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under58c827.42$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.914551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Under62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2312357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef6…43f4backed Over39c641.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over39c640$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Under71c620.3$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.36922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under61c586.23$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.5210650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over33c552.49$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.381,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over54c494.71$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over55c480.17$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over39c480$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.22755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under65c477.54$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.42365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Over34c456.91$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.919149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over32c424.69$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.692462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over21c421.27$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2610166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under74c402.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0625345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under71c401.75$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3434547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under68c390.18$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.974136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over20c383.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.924351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over39c358.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.975151%26 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under62c347.49$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4422250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under59c340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under61c329.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.36354%34 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over43c325$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7845069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Under62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Under62c317.34$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over22c288.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5514045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under68c263.24$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6214347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over79c235.72$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under63c221.71$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9951343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over40c216$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.66046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under75c213$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.115240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over43c211.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.123336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under58c200.85$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.498150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over39c199$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3921549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under60c197.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2335551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over20c196.42$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1119844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Under62c195$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under77c190$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.326657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under68c186$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Over39c185.87$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.383831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under53c172.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.895141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f2b…9128backed Over43c168.34$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under61c164.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6462447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under61c160.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3712733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over35c144.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.773868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over41c134.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4245151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over19c134$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5427659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over26c127.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.262454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over10c126.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.315261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010367%69 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over39c117.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+73.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over33c112.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.071866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under59c109.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.898347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under59c103.47$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Under62c101.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over21c97.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.981861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over40c95.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5128753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed Under59c93.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over26c91.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.241747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Under62c88.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over39c83.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4265721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1120855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over39c78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.343158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over39c73.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5814551%74 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c9…9aaebacked Under62c72.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.