TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cb5…7ce9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT7450%37 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 2 Winner: Rocha vs Martinezbacked Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.96
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$392
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgrenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$137.6
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$87.32
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.8
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Geabacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.99
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,985Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$1,144.7
Granby: Liam Draxl vs James Kent Trotterbacked James Kent Trotter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.69
Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$516.8
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,985Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$1,325.1
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$291.99
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$153.66
Set 3 Winner: Fery vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$299
Set 1 Winner: Fery vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$620
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovicbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.32
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.99
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyukbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Wimbledon WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyukbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,349
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.7
Set 2 Winner: Quinn vs Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Set 2 Winner: Goransson/King vs Arribage/Olivettibacked Arribage/Olivetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$502
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.6
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,922Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$948.15
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,836Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$2,088.28
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$736
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47%+$483.88
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$758.68
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.9
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,082.4
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$447
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$778.79
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$176.57
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$633.6
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$774.44
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$2,000.65
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$524.25
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.98
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.04
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.01
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$655.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.08
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,977Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$1,402.7
NBA Summer League: Sacramento Kings vs. Boston Celticsbacked Boston Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$561.6
NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Milwaukee Bucksbacked Charlotte Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzliesbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,136.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.