NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe85c3b62fadba03311051b3477d4417dbb3dc5119e8ee762b57659d3aabe976e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 74c | 1,883$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.53 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 25c | 1,565$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.26 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under | 5c | 1,318$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 6c | 1,103$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 25c | 999.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Under | 6c | 796.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 75c | 792.06$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 75c | 774.24$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 26c | 523.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 23c | 395.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 7c | 360$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 76c | 302.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 75c | 291.27$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…c891backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 74c | 236.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 22c | 204.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 9c | 199$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 75c | 195.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 17c | 147.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Over | 75c | 145.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 25c | 102.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 76c | 93.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 24c | 82.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 26c | 82.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 74c | 80.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 24c | 74.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 24c | 65.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 75c | 46.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 75c | 40.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…8e03backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 74c | 39.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…71dabacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…44e1backed Over | 75c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 75c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Over | 77c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. HurricanesGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.