TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c69,008$33,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,123.7528749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over52c45,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,599.951,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under48c16,373$7,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,859.244542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under47c15,981$7,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,511.162334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c12,087$6,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,801.91,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Over52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7603246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Over52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.9750049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over55c8,164$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.111681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under42c6,254$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.1510545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Under30c6,241$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.9913747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.9927243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9939752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c5,963$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.2761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Over52c5,073$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.97038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under48c4,461$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.3935829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.999751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c3,779$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.8811952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Over53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5811151.4%57 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c3,372$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.8942948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over52c3,330$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.444551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3806841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c2,846$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.0733554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over64c2,468$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.4310650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under48c2,200$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under48c2,035$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,022$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.411,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under18c1,759$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.672941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.9861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5642365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5763641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under24c1,099$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.6318452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c1,049$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.8814551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over78c1,014$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4807338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4809258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over76c974.6$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8422250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Under48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c800.01$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over52c773.58$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.323857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.231968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over52c699.99$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33632648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over75c668$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.41,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under9c591$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0941050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under47c555.91$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2810846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under18c554$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.721,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over53c527.83$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.086847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Over53c456.17$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.42744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over52c402.85$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3762346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over53c402.45$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.153873.7%28 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over62c402.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0431540.3%127 W · 188 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over78c386.51$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.361478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over53c371$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.553666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under47c369.09$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Over52c289.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c267.92$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.929846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over76c260.68$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2717248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under24c256.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6318853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over75c217.48$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.398837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c210.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0514254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x941f…35c6backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1310851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under48c168$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc494…36c9backed Over53c160.48$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.82254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5768…e453backed Over53c157.21$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32f4…6a6abacked Over53c156.73$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over52c155.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.367147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc388…f7b5backed Under48c154.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf771…8d65backed Under48c152.88$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe849…45c5backed Over53c152.73$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.521155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.535551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.325261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa23f…2721backed Under48c145.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over79c143.43$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.492,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc954…0920backed Over53c143.31$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.361060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…6bc1backed Under48c138.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37cc…e83abacked Under48c136.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca96…c3a0backed Under48c135.81$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1008…5fa6backed Over53c135.55$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47bc…5bf1backed Under48c134.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xede7…e982backed Over53c132.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9324…1858backed Over53c132.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4f…e347backed Under48c132.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.