TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Under60c13,754$8,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,294.4628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c8,989$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,393.1641842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Over40c8,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under60c7,704$4,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,654.614542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over40c7,518$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,505.3210650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under60c6,767$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,060.251045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Over40c6,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Under60c5,167$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under60c4,122$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.9411952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over40c3,709$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.241070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+66.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c3,095$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.61,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over57c3,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Under15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9913747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Over40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50011151.4%57 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under37c2,398$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.2210545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under59c2,191$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.4712152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under59c1,950$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.4761959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over40c1,380$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82844551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over55c1,188$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.123429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under31c1,083$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4222250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcfad…3ca2backed Under60c1,020$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over39c1,008$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.7742948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over73c1,000$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3258841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over40c946.71$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.961950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4f…3216backed Under60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under61c764.3$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.2211648.3%56 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over63c740.7$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.261,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c626.83$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8514254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over64c614.39$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.183666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over39c605.25$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.214551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over45c578.33$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.891145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Under61c560$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over40c400$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24176950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under60c393.19$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.919258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Over40c380$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under36c335.78$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9618452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006354%34 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under38c326.23$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6417248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under59c309.17$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.913641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Under61c308.3$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Under61c300.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.610650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under60c283.32$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over40c254.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.993857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under60c253$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over69c250.94$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.443,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over41c241.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5410056%56 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf50…2dd8backed Over41c241.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under60c238.33$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Over57c235$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.052857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027851.1%142 W · 136 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under60c191.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1510346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under59c183.23$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.11757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under48c178$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1810851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x512c…58b3backed Under60c165.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed Under60c152.21$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under60c132.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1112859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over56c119.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2619844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under48c116$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1639751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under62c102$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.248837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045756.2%257 W · 200 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602544%11 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under23c97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.318345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under37c90.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5431540.3%127 W · 188 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over40c82.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.326847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under60c78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.88347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Under62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9631…29f1backed Under60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over39c58.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8445651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over68c57.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4418853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over40c56.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.742147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under57c52.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over67c51.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Over39c51.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.824139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc429…1c89backed Under61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3071952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over41c47.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…7dddbacked Over41c46.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.461250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.786550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa452…d77ebacked Under60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over75c40.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0133251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…71dabacked Over39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over40c38.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under59c36.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3645151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Over68c35.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over46c35.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under60c35.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.249659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over40c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2026154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b9…bf5cbacked Under58c32.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over39c31.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.493551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over65c30.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.573161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over52c30.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.452857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.