TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9631…29f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Stocks at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$314.23
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$36.75
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$24.27
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights backed Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Wild vs. Senatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$59.58
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.91
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$90
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$43.2
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.4
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.4
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+98.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.19
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$25.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$136.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.