TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Blue Jackets, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$543,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$541,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1925…4654backed Blue Jackets37c146,919$54,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,360.211644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blue Jackets19c103,490$19,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,839.7848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hurricanes63c97,443$61,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,053.8751550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Hurricanes64c90,173$57,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,563.9615054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Hurricanes64c44,000$28,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,8403450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets37c40,271$14,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,900.3148549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets36c40,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,4001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe7…8daabacked Blue Jackets0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Blue Jackets36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20014650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hurricanes63c11,546$7,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272.1836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Hurricanes63c11,000$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hurricanes63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Blue Jackets36c9,136$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.9312047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hurricanes63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes64c6,361$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.9485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Blue Jackets38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Blue Jackets37c4,801$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Blue Jackets0c4,651$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Blue Jackets24c4,504$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.1827448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hurricanes63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Blue Jackets37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Hurricanes62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.9530552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Blue Jackets38c3,480$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.314954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets38c2,783$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.241,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ff…46babacked Blue Jackets37c2,537$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a07…7d04backed Hurricanes63c2,511$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hurricanes63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Hurricanes61c2,497$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.713850.7%70 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa382…ce7dbacked Hurricanes63c2,486$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1a…b09fbacked Blue Jackets37c2,461$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Blue Jackets37c2,007$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.4754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Hurricanes61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Hurricanes63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7408748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Blue Jackets36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7207750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd0…865fbacked Hurricanes61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7803141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Hurricanes62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.993959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Blue Jackets36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9720450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets28c1,712$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.641,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blue Jackets8c1,666$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets6c1,652$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets16c1,516$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.72,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Hurricanes62c1,499$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.652770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jackets12c1,452$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.332,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blue Jackets36c1,442$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.571,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed Blue Jackets9c1,338$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.765841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Blue Jackets9c1,266$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11222043.2%95 W · 125 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Blue Jackets4c1,210$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.631741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid-24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Hurricanes64c1,108$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5914650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0e…a3e2backed Hurricanes63c1,106$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.222157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes73c1,031$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hurricanes74c1,024$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0137857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Hurricanes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd74…888dbacked Blue Jackets39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Blue Jackets36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets10c908.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.812,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Hurricanes61c790$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.14463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Blue Jackets6c683.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.830259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Blue Jackets3c673.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6333234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Blue Jackets32c672.35$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1310848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Hurricanes64c642.19$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.192040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Hurricanes63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Blue Jackets37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22228447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…814fbacked Blue Jackets38c575.5$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.694250%21 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes64c555$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Hurricanes64c555$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.811153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets36c552.18$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.782,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd164…e490backed Blue Jackets38c522.5$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.554854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Blue Jackets28c509.67$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4412152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes63c505.91$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1961950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Blue Jackets37c500.14$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Blue Jackets37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1854337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Blue Jackets37c500$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18714638.4%56 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Hurricanes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1907851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Blue Jackets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19049249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Hurricanes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d62…27e0backed Hurricanes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1561…2028backed Hurricanes61c499.95$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Hurricanes62c499.94$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9840049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes62c494.4$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.581,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd831…30c1backed Blue Jackets37c489.6$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.881250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Hurricanes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.755646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Blue Jackets34c445.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa43d…00f4backed Hurricanes64c434.38$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3810543.8%46 W · 59 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Blue Jackets38c430.63$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6438645.1%174 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Blue Jackets36c421.71$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8241354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Blue Jackets3c418.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Hurricanes59c415.31$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2838555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Hurricanes64c406.25$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Blue Jackets6c402.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0225635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Blue Jackets5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Blue Jackets36c392$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1211240.2%45 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f7…171fbacked Blue Jackets6c366.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e5…79f3backed Blue Jackets13c348.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.263234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Blue Jackets19c323.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Blue Jackets37c321.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Blue Jackets37c320.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7980…feadbacked Blue Jackets39c307.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021849.5%108 W · 110 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Blue Jackets37c299.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11158947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Blue Jackets8c299.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.