TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34f9…ebf6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT7460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$110.74
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.5
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.26
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$152.4
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$58.25
Spread: Raptors (-11.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.67
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$58.42
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+67%+$25.74
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$80.65
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$163.33
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$82.25
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.43
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$462.7
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.68
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.6
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$420.11
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$157.64
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$96.41
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.23
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$319.22
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$137.59
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$388.93
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$127.34
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$276.95
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$179.55
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.77
Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.51
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$166.57
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$146.5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenneth Walker III: First Touchdownbacked Kenneth Walker III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First Touchdownbacked Jaxon Smith-Njigba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$147
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$700
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+314.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+314.5%+$5,032.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$122.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$146.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$209.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-24.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.