NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817a64a1ec2c62c6b4983af1aa222dad9d466138b8acacb68f1316a5c37ea7a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $749,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $928,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $749,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 48c | 255,584$122,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,679.87 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 52c | 144,721$75,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,360.76 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 52c | 114,103$59,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,784.18 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 48c | 87,259$41,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,884.44 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lakers | 51c | 58,941$30,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,881.27 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers | 52c | 57,612$29,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,653.7 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 48c | 25,698$12,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,330.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 42c | 22,684$9,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,473.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 54c | 21,467$11,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,830.15 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Wizards | 49c | 17,239$8,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,447.11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Wizards | 48c | 11,407$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 52c | 10,365$5,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.71 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Lakers | 52c | 10,130$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.72 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wizards | 49c | 9,957$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.82 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 49c | 9,700$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers | 53c | 9,676$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.09 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 48c | 8,735$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 52c | 8,524$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.64 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 60c | 8,423$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 48c | 7,390$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 48c | 6,443$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 48c | 5,910$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.87 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Lakers | 52c | 5,695$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.66 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 52c | 5,435$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.19 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 59c | 5,247$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.26 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 52c | 4,657$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.05 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 51c | 4,367$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 48c | 4,147$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Lakers | 51c | 3,970$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.31 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards | 48c | 3,962$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Wizards | 49c | 3,700$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 49c | 3,676$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Lakers | 54c | 3,649$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.94 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 53c | 3,457$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Lakers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Wizards | 48c | 2,159$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.4 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,985$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 47c | 1,964$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.13 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wizards | 47c | 1,963$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.59 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wizards | 48c | 1,946$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.24 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Wizards | 48c | 1,861$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 33c | 1,798$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.48 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Lakers | 57c | 1,723$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.9 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Lakers | 52c | 1,632$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.34 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,401$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.65 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,132$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.01 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,131$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.59 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Lakers | 52c | 1,126$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Lakers | 53c | 1,115$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.28 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lakers | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Lakers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Lakers | 52c | 985.02$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.81 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers | 51c | 985.01$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.65 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Lakers | 52c | 965.81$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.59 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Wizards | 42c | 920.83$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.17 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lakers | 53c | 918.98$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.92 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Lakers | 55c | 872.59$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.79 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 42c | 862.07$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.07 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Lakers | 52c | 854.08$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.05 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Wizards | 48c | 837.27$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.89 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Wizards | 50c | 788$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Lakers | 52c | 637.45$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Lakers | 59c | 630.23$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.39 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Wizards | 34c | 600$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Lakers | 52c | 581.65$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.58 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Lakers | 52c | 567.4$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.7 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Lakers | 52c | 520.93$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Wizards | 48c | 500.39$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Wizards | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Wizards | 49c | 457.83$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Lakers | 52c | 435.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…9722backed Lakers | 52c | 432.45$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Lakers | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Wizards | 49c | 390.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.05 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Lakers | 52c | 387.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wizards | 48c | 382.2$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards | 43c | 375.71$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Lakers | 52c | 343.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 48c | 336.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Lakers | 52c | 335.01$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 47c | 331.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lakers | 64c | 329.33$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Wizards | 48c | 317.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards | 48c | 316.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 38c | 303.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Wizards | 48c | 302.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Lakers | 66c | 298$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lakers | 59c | 295.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Lakers | 53c | 278.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Wizards | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Wizards | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Lakers | 52c | 251.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Lakers | 52c | 241$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Lakers | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 47c | 236.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Wizards | 50c | 236.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Lakers won
- Wizards vs. LakersLakers won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.