NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5290fa8e635f7b6f99659047d5a680e384c1ce357826fdd40aae4c348d66daeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 57c | 2,375$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.82 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,315$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 56c | 1,214$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.8 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,156$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 56c | 1,041$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.49 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,022$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 47c | 990.69$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.07 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 55c | 737.28$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.5 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 643.72$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 46c | 534.58$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.76 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 15c | 440.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 16c | 382.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 360.91$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 15c | 300.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 45c | 240$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 42c | 231.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 46c | 230.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 44c | 229.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 224.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 216.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 19c | 209.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 45c | 198.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 11c | 189.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Over | 42c | 164.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 44c | 158.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 56c | 152.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over | 50c | 151.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 43c | 150.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 130.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 117.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 114.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 100.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 54c | 99.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 95.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 53c | 92.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f7…a7b0backed Under | 44c | 92.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 54c | 90.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 83.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 45c | 72.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 54c | 66.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Over | 16c | 62.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…30b6backed Over | 37c | 53.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 48c | 51.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 51.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Over | 53c | 50.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 52c | 47.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 46c | 47.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 46c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 41.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 46c | 29.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 54c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 44c | 24.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 56c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 58c | 18.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Lakers won
- Wizards vs. LakersLakers won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.