TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6b7…d2e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Damas vs. Shelbayh: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$116.66
Damas vs. Shelbayh: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$89.56
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$35.46
Dzumhur vs. Jianu: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$86.19
Cina vs. Muller: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.86
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.92
Omar Jasika vs. Li Tu: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.58
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.99
Barletta: Daniil Glinka vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$77.13
August Holmgren vs. Yuto Oki: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$86.27
Altmaier vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Busta vs. Ruiz: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Yokkaichi: Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Noguchi vs. Uchiyama: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$122.51
Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Safiullin vs. Ruiz: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$179.98
Ofner vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$231.35
Uchiyama vs. Matsuoka: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$48.59
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Martinez vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$108.81
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.69
Yokkaichi: Yuta Shimizu vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$98.73
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.96
Naples: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.03
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.04
Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.59
Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.38
Latvia vs. Gibraltar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.77
Colombia vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136.04
Will Armenia vs. Belarus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.14
Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$43.33
Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.81
Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+222.4%+$170.57
Moldova vs. Lithuania: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.15
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$88.93
BC Dubai vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahcebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$75.88
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.