TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KK Crvena Zvezdaof Saski Baskonia, KK Crvena Zvezda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,441 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb1b8…e27cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda67c18,150$12,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,992.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Saski Baskonia47c16,730$7,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,863.7313235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed KK Crvena Zvezda38c9,893$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,133.631266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Saski Baskonia33c7,750$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Saski Baskonia41c6,103$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda41c4,371$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Saski Baskonia42c3,942$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.121444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed KK Crvena Zvezda59c3,098$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.1931446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed KK Crvena Zvezda37c2,965$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked KK Crvena Zvezda63c2,842$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.07955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Saski Baskonia33c2,419$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.3937052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Saski Baskonia42c2,199$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.5626544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Saski Baskonia62c2,098$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.092450%12 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Saski Baskonia62c2,092$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.0850%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Saski Baskonia58c1,988$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Saski Baskonia37c1,879$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.242263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+49.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02dc…ef17backed KK Crvena Zvezda62c1,635$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Saski Baskonia41c1,412$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.7416235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed KK Crvena Zvezda60c1,397$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.546237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Saski Baskonia38c1,285$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.551154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked KK Crvena Zvezda25c1,229$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Saski Baskonia32c1,203$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9428943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saski Baskonia38c1,136$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.9412042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed KK Crvena Zvezda62c1,106$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.39551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda57c1,000$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8331651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7122…6bcabacked KK Crvena Zvezda61c981.97$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed KK Crvena Zvezda43c929.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.091435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df3…bb17backed KK Crvena Zvezda57c879.11$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.115450%27 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda67c873.53$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.655642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Saski Baskonia27c865.37$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Saski Baskonia47c857$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.798644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff38…1d79backed KK Crvena Zvezda46c843.7$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+162.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Saski Baskonia65c833.87$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Saski Baskonia68c817.4$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.76844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed KK Crvena Zvezda54c785.87$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5113147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed KK Crvena Zvezda57c761.8$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.577159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed KK Crvena Zvezda40c752.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed KK Crvena Zvezda59c735$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda8c714.28$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.561637.5%6 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+310.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed KK Crvena Zvezda51c689.12$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.123040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Saski Baskonia45c681.32$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.326935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.971687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda60c664.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.161855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Saski Baskonia64c659$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0ec…f7dabacked KK Crvena Zvezda58c649.05$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda72c586.31$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8510050%50 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9775…ed41backed KK Crvena Zvezda39c566.93$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.931030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia60c547.05$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.5236939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fe…30d5backed KK Crvena Zvezda40c528$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed KK Crvena Zvezda58c522.31$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.37757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda59c515$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.927557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia41c492.44$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed KK Crvena Zvezda64c469.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Saski Baskonia60c459.3$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.412055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed KK Crvena Zvezda39c444.71$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saski Baskonia65c436$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3718144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked KK Crvena Zvezda56c424.08$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.085050%25 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed KK Crvena Zvezda63c401.59$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Saski Baskonia36c396.66$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed KK Crvena Zvezda60c390.83$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.849756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e29…68e3backed KK Crvena Zvezda77c366.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed KK Crvena Zvezda62c358.42$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.23775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Saski Baskonia47c357.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9614447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed KK Crvena Zvezda76c326.61$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.511241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c23…a9cdbacked Saski Baskonia50c312.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Saski Baskonia38c308.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.71145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0780…b0e9backed KK Crvena Zvezda65c308.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed KK Crvena Zvezda58c296.1$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.813545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Saski Baskonia38c295.91$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4510736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Saski Baskonia77c290.18$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.488936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e1…8720backed Saski Baskonia53c280.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed KK Crvena Zvezda40c252.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7310634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Saski Baskonia29c248.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.27031.4%22 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed KK Crvena Zvezda59c245.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.765100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Saski Baskonia41c244.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked KK Crvena Zvezda63c238.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.278247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Saski Baskonia60c232.73$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x025d…c171backed KK Crvena Zvezda64c232.66$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked KK Crvena Zvezda62c232$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4711455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed KK Crvena Zvezda39c231.13$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.593450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b8…cbb6backed KK Crvena Zvezda61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa6…98cebacked Saski Baskonia42c195.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed KK Crvena Zvezda59c191.22$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed KK Crvena Zvezda53c188.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed KK Crvena Zvezda62c181.3$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.295240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked KK Crvena Zvezda57c179.54$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.691957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked KK Crvena Zvezda59c174.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed KK Crvena Zvezda59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Saski Baskonia53c169.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.851442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Saski Baskonia54c166.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.581553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Saski Baskonia56c166$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4910941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfde…258abacked KK Crvena Zvezda33c164.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Saski Baskonia42c164.02$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde6e…3085backed Saski Baskonia44c164$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2910663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f5…1f57backed KK Crvena Zvezda63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Saski Baskonia46c158.16$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.955446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed KK Crvena Zvezda57c155.46$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.842050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb237…3ab0backed Saski Baskonia43c149$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Saski Baskonia63c148.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.343050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.