TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ab7…d03c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$426
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$70.7
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$65.14
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$74.68
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$61
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$73.43
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$124.73
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$52.27
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$43.14
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.93
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$96.84
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$48.71
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$65.1
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$123.43
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$65.23
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$498.91
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$22.84
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.21
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$324
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$919
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,049.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$474.39
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$328
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.58
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.46
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$593.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$193.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$87.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$346
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Russia (-2.5)backed Russia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$134.51
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$59.97
Will Bolivia vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.74
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$483
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$376
Will Kosovo vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.23
Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.72
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Colombia vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 17 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$88.17
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$428.3
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$274.83
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$206.77
Monaco vs. Barcelonabacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$61.19
Panathinaikos vs. Monacobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$35.07
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris Basketballbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$10.18
Barcelona vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$23.96
Real Madrid vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$53.13
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$183.28
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$335.97
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.36
Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$277.97
BC Dubai vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$110.89
Panathinaikos vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$101.54
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$512
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$516.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$487.83
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$488.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.51
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$166.61
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$316
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$138.99
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$63.25
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270.82
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$131
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 1 Çorum FK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Will Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,267.76
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Will SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+457.9%+$631.89
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$316.62
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$375.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$480.79
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.78
Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$525.82
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$276.63
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$95.25
Will AEK win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$190.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-82.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$93.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$118.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Coachella Valley Firebirdsbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$306.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.