Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77de8c060b70b740732e941271e1d96f07887428f1987ee544f50a2483021008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,221,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,323,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,221,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50b1…f076backed Yes | 67c | 722,866$482,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482,978.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 37c | 200,000$74,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 92,944$65,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,064.91 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 29c | 85,228$24,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,511.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 37c | 57,732$21,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,371.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 29c | 50,637$14,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,952.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 49,101$16,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,386.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 39,484$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,883.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 37c | 31,929$11,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,145.37 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 28,546$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,238.24 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 29c | 28,400$8,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,162 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 36c | 25,017$9,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,919.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 41c | 22,957$9,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,648.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 29c | 21,578$6,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,320.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 30c | 20,120$6,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,076.91 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 44c | 17,839$7,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,990.16 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 29c | 14,200$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,082 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 29c | 12,868$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,095.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 11,747$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,219.32 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 37c | 11,689$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.76 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 30c | 10,250$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,175.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 10,112$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,142.54 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 29c | 10,008$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,105.45 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 57c | 9,739$5,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,502.67 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 53c | 9,440$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.2 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 29c | 8,520$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 29c | 8,437$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 7,969$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.64 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes | 68c | 7,489$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 29c | 6,941$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928.22 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 29c | 5,252$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.88 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 29c | 5,171$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.41 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 71c | 5,055$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 4,406$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.82 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 70c | 4,348$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.58 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 32c | 4,259$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked No | 30c | 3,969$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 3,926$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.22 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 59c | 3,766$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.24 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 29c | 3,718$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 3,681$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.88 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 45c | 3,653$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.9 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 14c | 3,359$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 37c | 3,333$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…e25abacked Yes | 70c | 3,072$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 69c | 2,972$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.96 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 29c | 2,756$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 30c | 2,667$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.55 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 32c | 2,654$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.92 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed No | 31c | 2,308$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 30c | 2,118$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.81 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 29c | 2,108$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.69 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed No | 29c | 2,107$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 30c | 1,950$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 29c | 1,846$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,622$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.17 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 1,600$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.03 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,551$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed No | 29c | 1,551$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 30c | 1,500$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.53 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 50c | 1,496$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.47 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 75c | 1,483$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,444$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 33c | 1,378$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 56c | 1,368$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…ae29backed Yes | 71c | 1,360$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…7a3bbacked No | 30c | 1,277$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 30c | 1,263$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.4 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 1,223$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.29 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 1,190$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,188$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked No | 31c | 1,176$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 29c | 1,136$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 34c | 1,130$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.96 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 41c | 1,091$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.85 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 1,056$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.94 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4305…52c4backed No | 32c | 1,047$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 1,007$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…9309backed No | 32c | 997.88$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.