Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae0138e566bd86c650fa91e1d939bba3c9c32b9c42003a9f9f440d0332aa94c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 5,131$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.84 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 41c | 2,420$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…997abacked Yes | 66c | 1,469$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 39c | 1,344$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.73 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 70c | 1,144$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.27 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 1,137$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 1,106$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 17c | 1,093$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 17c | 999.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 40c | 989.03$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 988.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 964.03$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.37 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 678.02$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.02 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 635.79$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 67c | 604.55$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 28c | 586.62$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 18c | 574.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 27c | 548.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 18c | 501.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…9cedbacked Yes | 77c | 496.95$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 37c | 472.09$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 39c | 424.24$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.79 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 66c | 391.82$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 73c | 389.94$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 20c | 357$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb74…23ccbacked Yes | 34c | 341.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 298.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 46c | 274.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 72c | 272.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…0e79backed Yes | 72c | 272.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 41c | 263.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…0b75backed Yes | 61c | 257.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 240.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 71c | 239.94$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…10fdbacked Yes | 67c | 231.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Yes | 72c | 226.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 15c | 217.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1af…e611backed Yes | 6c | 205.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 18c | 179.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed Yes | 76c | 178.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Yes | 19c | 175$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +251.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 56c | 162.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…44fbbacked Yes | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 36c | 151.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…eed9backed Yes | 26c | 143.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 69c | 141.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 70c | 140.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 71c | 139.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 71c | 138.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…39acbacked Yes | 10c | 137.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 74c | 137.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 72c | 136.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 75c | 128.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…3305backed Yes | 70c | 112.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 53c | 103.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 103.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 101.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes | 53c | 100.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…7c44backed Yes | 54c | 99.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…c9f1backed Yes | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 27c | 95.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 19c | 95.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Yes | 19c | 85.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Yes | 60c | 83.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Yes | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes | 67c | 79.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 60c | 79.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…d5c0backed Yes | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 63c | 72.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd20…069cbacked Yes | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…6522backed Yes | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 44c | 64.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Yes | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Yes | 44c | 60.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 77c | 59.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…61f0backed Yes | 37c | 58.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…fdfbbacked Yes | 48c | 56.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked No | 36c | 53.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…f045backed Yes | 47c | 50.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 37c | 50.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 75c | 50.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 26c | 43.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…547fbacked Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72a…532fbacked Yes | 31c | 39.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 62c | 39.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…5d2dbacked Yes | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 32c | 38.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 52c | 37.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.