TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80d0…ec9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.31
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.31
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.27
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.57
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.68
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$118.87
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$33.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.83
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$109.73
Will West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$100.87
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.77
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.66
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.94
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.33
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.42
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.39
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$196.71
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.23
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$86.52
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$55.75
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.47
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.45
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.75
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.61
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$218.04
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$30.47
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+525%+$59.82
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.83
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$209.53
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.62
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$151.6
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.72
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.89
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.81
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+109.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+146.2%+$65.81
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.