Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a2671a9742022f3700b790c47ddffe642472a4f85eedefcb7b969aa5d0d8c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5493…58b9backed No | 50c | 8,544$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 1c | 8,012$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 61c | 4,916$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Yes | 11c | 3,969$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 4c | 3,503$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 41c | 3,339$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.24 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 64c | 3,285$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.94 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…4a8ebacked Yes | 61c | 3,019$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…35e6backed Yes | 63c | 2,503$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.4 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e2…42d6backed Yes | 48c | 2,389$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 25c | 2,277$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.74 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed Yes | 26c | 2,073$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 18c | 1,893$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…c279backed Yes | 11c | 1,812$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…6df6backed Yes | 54c | 1,800$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 1,785$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.53 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 62c | 1,784$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.71 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 47c | 1,644$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.2 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 1,537$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.06 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 22c | 1,484$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 67c | 1,473$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 47c | 1,424$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.64 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed No | 65c | 1,387$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,324$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…a275backed Yes | 49c | 1,321$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 47c | 1,316$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.72 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,269$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…6508backed Yes | 45c | 1,269$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…5e39backed Yes | 51c | 1,266$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…406cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,266$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…54f0backed Yes | 52c | 1,256$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…bea9backed Yes | 58c | 1,254$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…c1b0backed Yes | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…65d9backed Yes | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 78c | 1,192$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 21c | 1,171$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 1,153$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 57c | 1,127$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.08 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed No | 57c | 1,116$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…9c0cbacked No | 68c | 1,028$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 46c | 1,027$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.79 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d2…1feebacked Yes | 60c | 1,005$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed No | 45c | 999$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.45 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 29c | 991.01$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 9c | 977.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d3…df67backed No | 44c | 964.31$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 38c | 956.6$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…004fbacked No | 61c | 920.06$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +190.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc685…752dbacked No | 65c | 912$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…4fe8backed No | 60c | 883.13$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 22c | 872$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 9c | 849.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked Yes | 57c | 839.99$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed Yes | 32c | 819.06$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 55c | 810.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 804.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 801.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked Yes | 43c | 798.8$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 47c | 777$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 22c | 726$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…55dfbacked No | 69c | 713.39$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 9c | 700$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 651.66$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.73 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 43c | 622$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…57a6backed Yes | 30c | 610$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…424abacked No | 70c | 610$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 79c | 578$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked No | 78c | 557$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…7f24backed Yes | 55c | 556.47$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…50e1backed No | 57c | 551$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 49c | 544.54$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.11 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…6235backed No | 37c | 515.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.55 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 21c | 509$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…cf45backed Yes | 56c | 470$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.2 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 53c | 443$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 8c | 434.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 45c | 432$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.24 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 22c | 429$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…8ea4backed Yes | 7c | 427.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 50c | 424.47$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.73 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 46c | 424.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.95 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 48c | 414.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed No | 66c | 411.4$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 49c | 409.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 78c | 400.79$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6348…ef19backed No | 67c | 400$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 43c | 387$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…e1d8backed No | 51c | 373.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 67c | 360$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 47c | 355$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 47c | 335$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 78c | 332$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 43c | 331$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 79c | 328$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…8edebacked No | 68c | 324.91$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed No | 79c | 321$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 71c | 319.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…d22abacked No | 47c | 319.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097e…b868backed Yes | 30c | 318$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 312.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?this page
- Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.