TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb26c…0eb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
233
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT14355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,424.67
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+202%+$1,897.89
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$183.94
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.83
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.59
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$977.81
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,753Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$480.42
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$43.83
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$42.1
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.9
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.61
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.48
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$950.6
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$320.71
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.86
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$2,426.08
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,145.23
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.3
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.11
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.74
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$447.63
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$129.22
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50%+$96.65
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034.5
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.46
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$15.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$313.84
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$174.68
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.42
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$375.3
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,349.98
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,672Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$828.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$1,329.34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,972.65
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or higher on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$36.25
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$178.25
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or higher on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+62%+$219.1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.27
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$207.62
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.92
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$52.92
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+250.7%+$61.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.51
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$165.38
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+84%+$51.13
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+129.2%+$171.85
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.77
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-4.4wins-0.62per pick77cpaid-81.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,160
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$841.15
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,160
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$403
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,160
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,160
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,765
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reppo FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,069.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$203.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,502Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$479.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.