Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bda4a4df34e9929e7eecb7ee1adc0b6497ee79dddffe14be4b24237cd116cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 39c | 39,418$15,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,028.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed No | 75c | 16,796$12,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,515.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked Yes | 25c | 16,389$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,231.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 49c | 15,703$7,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,061.95 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 58c | 14,468$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +101%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…e4dbbacked No | 45c | 12,843$5,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +231%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17c…0c29backed No | 52c | 8,724$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 2c | 6,220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Yes | 69c | 6,129$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 6c | 6,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 2c | 5,002$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…c215backed No | 65c | 4,703$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9765…436bbacked No | 71c | 4,685$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22d…635dbacked No | 79c | 4,386$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 9c | 4,000$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…375cbacked No | 55c | 3,967$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked No | 39c | 3,886$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…32acbacked Yes | 71c | 3,586$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…9479backed No | 64c | 3,340$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 45c | 3,115$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.73 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…f231backed Yes | 35c | 3,005$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.43 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 74c | 3,000$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed Yes | 24c | 2,929$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…4e26backed Yes | 20c | 2,840$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 33c | 2,838$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.89 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe55c…40f6backed No | 75c | 2,549$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…f007backed Yes | 73c | 2,439$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 24c | 2,354$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…067cbacked No | 74c | 2,300$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 25c | 2,152$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.72 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 18c | 2,092$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 52c | 2,086$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.24 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…da0ebacked No | 29c | 2,066$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 60c | 1,760$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.25 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…75b5backed Yes | 76c | 1,758$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 77c | 1,747$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.81 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…8139backed Yes | 71c | 1,693$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e801backed Yes | 62c | 1,689$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…280ebacked No | 20c | 1,630$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,584$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed No | 36c | 1,546$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…c44cbacked No | 69c | 1,518$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 28c | 1,516$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…c381backed No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 30c | 1,490$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.45 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,489$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.54 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed No | 9c | 1,466$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,402$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.43 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 33c | 1,377$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 42c | 1,315$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.1 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…e7d1backed No | 69c | 1,300$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaf…f7bfbacked No | 79c | 1,258$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 18c | 1,200$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 42c | 1,186$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…c8babacked No | 25c | 1,182$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…7c75backed No | 66c | 1,111$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…928fbacked No | 44c | 1,037$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed No | 66c | 966.51$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 57c | 953.13$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked No | 28c | 905.21$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed Yes | 79c | 899.99$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 77c | 899.99$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…f187backed Yes | 45c | 887.57$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 858.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 851.97$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.77 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…adc8backed No | 25c | 845.7$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…acf8backed No | 24c | 824.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…c592backed No | 29c | 817.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…a409backed No | 34c | 815$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 50c | 802.58$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +440.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…ee3abacked No | 36c | 775$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 32c | 735.92$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked No | 63c | 731.77$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.26 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…ed02backed No | 59c | 699.99$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 35c | 694.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.28 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…404dbacked No | 80c | 664.46$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 32c | 663.02$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes | 32c | 651.53$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…bcdfbacked Yes | 74c | 651.19$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 26c | 625$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.39 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 41c | 618.64$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…6f69backed No | 25c | 604.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 7c | 599.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 39c | 579.93$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.75 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…a623backed No | 41c | 579.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbb…2711backed No | 69c | 575.96$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked No | 31c | 569.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 36c | 548.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.31 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…417abacked No | 73c | 544.74$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Yes | 19c | 526.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…184bbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed Yes | 20c | 500$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.28 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…a792backed No | 62c | 487.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e2…5ddabacked No | 74c | 474.32$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 72c | 473.15$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 39c | 449.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8903backed No | 35c | 447.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…5077backed No | 29c | 444.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?this page
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No won
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.