TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6dd…98ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
429
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20143.3%87 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 201 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,118.94
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.62
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.07
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+34%+$311.21
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$432.67
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$769.63
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.23
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.36
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.98
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,983.09
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$1,302.22
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,607.03
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,186.6
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$3,270.68
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$268.12
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+152.2%+$1,271.19
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.55
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,378.82
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,192.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$4,917.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+584%+$5,603.28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.17
Showing 25 of 201 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.1
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.83
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+422.8%+$791.58
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+53%+$82.02
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$11.84
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.51
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.79
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.12
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$402.72
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.32
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+195.5%+$2,547.91
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.55
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,422Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$857.51
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.41
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$42.44
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.85
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.52
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,492Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$883.41
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$124.43
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.16
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.81
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.02
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$51.01
Will "Scott" or "Bessent" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36.26
Will "Crypto" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major US official out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+690.6%+$297.17
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 27-May 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$187.78
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+306.2%+$543.43
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.19
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.25
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$105.55
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+48.1%+$6.71
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+203%+$30.91
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+225.4%+$75.29
Will Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+203%+$25
Will Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.65
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.07
Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$16.8
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+60%+$17.08
Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+82%+$38.66
Will Trump say Sick person during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$16.16
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+103%+$35.53
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.82
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.93
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$21.44
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.18
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.74
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+540.1%+$414.77
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.28
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.84
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.08
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$143.13
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005.2
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$254.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$2,597.74
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.01
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.28
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$278.55
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$1,529.08
COMEX Gold Futures (GC=F) Up or Down on November 3?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37.5%+$103.74
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures (WTI) (CL=F) Up or Down on November 3?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$134.77
COMEX Silver Futures (SI=F) Up or Down on November 3?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$311.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dell say "Dividend" 3+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$33.33
Will Dell say "New Product" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+334.8%+$85.47
Will Dell say "Dell Pro Max" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$46.62
Will Walmart say "Brick and Mortar" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.55
Will Walmart say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.8
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Uber say "Freight" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Uber say "Taylor Swift" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.05
Will Uber say "Lyft" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$32.12
Will Palantir say "Government Contract" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Palantir say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Hims say "Collaboration" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.69
Will Palantir say "Warp Speed" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will EA say "Competition" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will EA say "Underperformance" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will EA say "Saudi Arabia" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$9.4
Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.67
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.37
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Starmer say "Tory" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.53
Will Keir Starmer say "Healthcare" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$41.58
Will Keir Starmer say "Greenland" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.05
Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.87
Will Keir Starmer say "Tax" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.31
Will Keir Starmer say "Russia" or Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.7%+$32.31
Will Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.55
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$472.18
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+237.2%+$781.53
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45.36
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.33
Will Keir Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37.84
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+199.6%+$21.3
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$42
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.21
LoL: Gen.G vs PSG Talon (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.41
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$478.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs GAM Esports (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$120
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$269.5
LoL: Los Heretics vs Barça eSports (BO3)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.12
LoL: Entropiq vs Zena Esports (BO3)backed Entropiq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$29.75
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ULF Esports (BO3)backed ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.5
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Geekay (BO3)backed Geekay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$31.45
LoL: Gentle Mates vs Verdant (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.5
LoL: Misa Esports vs Los Ratones (BO3)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: StormMedia Fajnie Mieć Skład vs The Otter Side (BO1)backed The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.52
LoL: Veni Vidi Vici vs Galions (BO1)backed Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$31.45
LoL: JDG vs ALbacked JDG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.46
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.73
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.36
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.99
All 18 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+49%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Illegal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.47
Will Trump say "Sanction" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+129.7%+$25.98
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.43
Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "ICE" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+138.1%+$32.48
Will Trump say "Tariff" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52.47
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.07
Will Trump say "Stolen" or "Steal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+208%+$66.05
Will Trump say "Border" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+354.5%+$74.59
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+150%+$32.75
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+170.3%+$19.54
Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$47.73
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+59.6%+$612.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.87
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.95
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$13.7
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.3
Will Trump say "Sanction" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+171.7%+$60.98
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.99
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will Trump say "Laggard" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+35.6%+$15.62
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$43.99
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+114.3%+$18.57
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on September 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$9.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+84.3%+$21.04
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on September 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+126.2%+$20.54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on September 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$4.41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+128.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$43.85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+900%+$1,305
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$44.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$10
CS: Falcons vs FaZebacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.67
Valorant: RRQ vs FNCbacked RRQ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Valorant: BLG vs MIBRbacked BLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked BLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.04
Thunderpick WC: TNL vs. Imperialbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$31.11
Thunderpick WC: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Venombacked Venom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+320%+$130.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$791.66
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$510.93
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.41
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.86
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.16
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$98.62
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+70.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.8
Duncan vs. Tuliobacked Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+143.9%+$46.96
Emmers vs. Amilbacked Emmers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$52.8
Rowe vs. Kobacked Rowe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Radtke vs. Frunzabacked Radtke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.16
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-53.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,488.03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$224.41
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$362.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Penalty" or "Flag" 50+ times during 49ers vs Rams game? (October 2)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$16.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny say "Puerto Rico" during SNL appearance on October 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Senior" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from September 18 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.