AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb466f81054b8156a63bde419bed305455697a6d29a9a6be87347c37d0f018b68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 7,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 4c | 5,491$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 4,929$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed No | 36c | 4,680$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.87 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed Yes | 72c | 4,190$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.14 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 17c | 3,969$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.34 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 5c | 3,167$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed No | 13c | 2,137$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed No | 20c | 1,919$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,907$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 416 | 7.5%31 W · 385 L | -25.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…251cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,572$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 4c | 1,367$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…4c0cbacked No | 38c | 1,316$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…7657backed No | 8c | 1,277$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +192.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked No | 8c | 1,217$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed Yes | 71c | 1,200$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…6868backed Yes | 61c | 1,194$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…7fcbbacked No | 8c | 1,185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…72bcbacked No | 5c | 1,182$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 2c | 1,110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…decbbacked No | 6c | 1,103$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 26c | 1,066$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 32c | 1,045$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.83 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 29c | 1,041$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 29c | 1,041$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 1,038$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…b31ebacked No | 7c | 948.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed No | 4c | 912.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 10c | 838.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 23c | 769.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 165 | 19.4%32 W · 133 L | -21.3wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 14c | 702.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed No | 16c | 667$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed No | 36c | 554.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 511.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…12c5backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 496.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked No | 10c | 428.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 20c | 415.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 460 | 38.9%179 W · 281 L | -31.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 412.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 80c | 399.24$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 17c | 353.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 20c | 322.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…0a8cbacked Yes | 59c | 322.19$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed No | 16c | 308.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…9ec9backed No | 13c | 306.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 64c | 282.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 10c | 281.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed No | 9c | 265.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 264.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…a390backed No | 10c | 252.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 67c | 248.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4095…2e31backed No | 41c | 241.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 65c | 236.81$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 31c | 232.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…c57fbacked No | 18c | 217.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 39c | 206.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 13c | 192.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 72c | 191.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 26c | 178.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 11c | 173$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed No | 7c | 165.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…f88abacked No | 30c | 164.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…382dbacked No | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df9…fa82backed Yes | 73c | 137.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 70c | 129.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…37b7backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 33c | 121.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 30c | 119.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed No | 14c | 110.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…548ebacked No | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…9978backed No | 36c | 107.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…6ee3backed No | 35c | 100.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Yes | 69c | 100.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…c074backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52db…3e30backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 11c | 97.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 65c | 97.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 22c | 96.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 68c | 94.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Yes | 58c | 90.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…0b73backed No | 33c | 80.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 78.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 731 | 35.6%260 W · 471 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 35c | 78.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 60c | 77.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 15c | 76.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 323 | 29.1%94 W · 229 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed Yes | 75c | 71.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed Yes | 70c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…a752backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 35c | 58.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked No | 20c | 54.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked No | 36c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 38c | 53.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.