AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadc76ee95ed51195ce46e91570ef08e6bd7002cb8929bc81de4b64c4f16852e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $685,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $574,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb94c…4c0cbacked No | 6c | 16,278$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed No | 26c | 16,184$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.45 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 7c | 15,819$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.17 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…2f29backed No | 14c | 13,419$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 4c | 13,320$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.1 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 4c | 12,914$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.31 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…1faabacked No | 5c | 12,907$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.44 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 12,345$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 11,516$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 11c | 10,508$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.24 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…151bbacked No | 15c | 10,088$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 12c | 10,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 1c | 9,544$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed No | 2c | 8,202$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 5c | 6,660$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.23 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 6,482$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.02 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 5c | 5,163$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…6256backed No | 3c | 5,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed No | 4c | 4,943$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 4,878$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…38ffbacked No | 2c | 4,473$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 4,164$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.55 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 9c | 4,090$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.92 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…12c5backed No | 17c | 4,077$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 0c | 4,046$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 75c | 4,026$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.8 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 3,996$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 3c | 3,924$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 5c | 3,916$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 3c | 3,659$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed Yes | 78c | 3,637$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.92 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6384backed No | 2c | 3,634$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 3,436$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.94 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 3,377$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…37b7backed No | 3c | 3,321$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…20abbacked No | 3c | 3,300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…b30ebacked No | 4c | 3,030$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 77c | 2,876$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.97 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 12c | 2,784$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.16 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 80c | 2,471$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.53 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 3c | 2,439$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 2c | 2,210$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…95e3backed No | 1c | 2,208$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…d9cebacked No | 17c | 2,040$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 1,942$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 9c | 1,833$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…1ed1backed No | 6c | 1,760$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 1,653$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…d14dbacked No | 1c | 1,642$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…b6f2backed No | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed No | 3c | 1,370$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 1,320$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…2bb0backed No | 8c | 1,288$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +340.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 1,231$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…b912backed No | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…deb0backed No | 3c | 1,190$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 5c | 1,164$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342b…52ebbacked No | 2c | 1,158$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 7c | 1,149$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…efccbacked No | 9c | 1,147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 1,141$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked No | 13c | 1,135$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 4c | 1,088$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e35…bff7backed No | 5c | 1,063$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed No | 5c | 1,053$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 10c | 1,052$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…a4a0backed No | 7c | 1,052$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed No | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…7f49backed No | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 4c | 990.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6353…7d2dbacked No | 13c | 976.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 8c | 932.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…b1c3backed No | 3c | 930.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 9c | 850$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…7fcbbacked No | 2c | 825.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 7c | 813.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 9c | 800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 5c | 774.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…99ecbacked No | 2c | 752.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…56d0backed No | 3c | 744.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 12c | 710$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 73c | 700.45$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…18cfbacked No | 3c | 672.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 5c | 662.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 3c | 624.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked No | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…76a5backed No | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 6c | 562.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…7e10backed No | 5c | 555.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked No | 4c | 553.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 4c | 550.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked No | 11c | 504$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 8c | 503.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 10c | 501.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52db…3e30backed No | 11c | 499.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…a5d4backed No | 12c | 489.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.