AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x845c5db17e6b85070cae3e26cde93893f885f6b6adb2fb0c7d90d34821431f2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 18c | 8,982$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…6014backed Yes | 6c | 8,265$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 30c | 8,052$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.93 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed No | 44c | 7,541$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…1faabacked Yes | 10c | 6,607$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 39c | 5,988$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.28 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 6c | 5,564$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…3054backed Yes | 9c | 4,343$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked No | 79c | 3,227$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.62 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 45c | 2,999$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.46 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…d4d1backed Yes | 2c | 2,913$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…d9d6backed Yes | 10c | 2,560$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…cc0bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,327$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 26c | 2,211$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.61 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…7babbacked Yes | 9c | 2,188$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…f768backed Yes | 45c | 2,182$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…973ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,145$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.53 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…cc4abacked No | 30c | 1,860$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 13c | 1,836$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.98 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed No | 33c | 1,802$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,687$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…5bfcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,643$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e51abacked Yes | 8c | 1,638$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 16c | 1,636$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.18 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…617abacked Yes | 11c | 1,506$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…68f0backed Yes | 8c | 1,493$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 70c | 1,360$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.72 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 23c | 1,283$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.47 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,265$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 67c | 1,227$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.84 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 1,190$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed No | 33c | 1,151$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…533bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…648abacked Yes | 7c | 1,078$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed No | 32c | 1,063$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 37c | 1,057$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,029$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,022$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…6d1bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,022$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked Yes | 14c | 968.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 27c | 960.18$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…f9e0backed Yes | 15c | 938.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…9a86backed No | 27c | 906.6$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 10c | 893.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 67c | 870.62$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96fa…13cfbacked Yes | 3c | 848.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed No | 54c | 812.11$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…0a4fbacked Yes | 8c | 761.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…ad7fbacked Yes | 12c | 710.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…ccadbacked No | 28c | 706.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked No | 28c | 701.9$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed Yes | 14c | 694.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 650$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3efe…103fbacked Yes | 7c | 649.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 8c | 647.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 44c | 631.35$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 67c | 629.7$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…c8a6backed Yes | 10c | 629.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed No | 25c | 601.62$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…5daabacked Yes | 9c | 573.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…e0fbbacked Yes | 14c | 534.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a4e5backed Yes | 25c | 525.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 4c | 510$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…6531backed Yes | 13c | 498.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 19c | 495.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…c03abacked Yes | 10c | 468.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 8c | 455.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 455.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Yes | 47c | 433.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 8c | 431$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked No | 50c | 424.31$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88b…ab34backed Yes | 6c | 421.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Yes | 72c | 416.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9886…ededbacked Yes | 72c | 414.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…18cfbacked No | 26c | 382.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 3c | 373$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…ed38backed No | 24c | 368.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 71c | 365.39$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8473backed No | 29c | 350.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…974bbacked No | 29c | 345.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…92b6backed No | 30c | 334.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.07 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 43c | 327$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked Yes | 8c | 326.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 24c | 315.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 73c | 307$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.11 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…9a3fbacked No | 70c | 284.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 50c | 279.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…c599backed Yes | 71c | 271.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 13c | 270.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 48c | 267.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Yes | 68c | 257.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…8465backed Yes | 16c | 250$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…330ebacked Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…444fbacked Yes | 63c | 242.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.