AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345142310bb14098d8a59c3d3f65679077b09c35b206cfb831c5983db0fcdd53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac4…392fbacked No | 0c | 30,189$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 18,368$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…9345backed No | 1c | 12,363$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed No | 3c | 12,102$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 75c | 11,730$8,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.79 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 77c | 11,631$8,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.93 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 4c | 11,329$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.35 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…7fcbbacked No | 0c | 10,444$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked No | 2c | 9,479$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 1c | 6,325$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed No | 36c | 5,630$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4576…7b22backed No | 2c | 5,290$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 11c | 5,113$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.32 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 14c | 5,106$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.51 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…469cbacked Yes | 79c | 4,556$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 0c | 4,444$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 17c | 4,409$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.83 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…725dbacked No | 17c | 4,331$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8846…0154backed No | 1c | 3,857$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked No | 7c | 3,612$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 3,556$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed No | 0c | 3,458$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…0b9ebacked No | 2c | 3,366$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…6208backed No | 0c | 3,310$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked No | 8c | 3,302$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 12c | 3,190$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 1c | 3,151$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 7c | 3,035$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4737…a54abacked No | 20c | 3,006$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 28c | 3,000$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.93 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 15c | 2,995$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked No | 25c | 2,856$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 77c | 2,792$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.3 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed No | 3c | 2,680$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 10c | 2,532$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.59 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked No | 3c | 2,512$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…69babacked No | 2c | 2,376$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed Yes | 74c | 2,200$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 3c | 2,111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e66…f4eabacked No | 21c | 2,098$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…4807backed No | 2c | 2,053$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed No | 2c | 2,043$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…f7aebacked No | 21c | 2,037$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…4e0abacked No | 1c | 2,023$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked Yes | 78c | 2,002$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…a30ebacked No | 8c | 1,886$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7a…d837backed No | 3c | 1,867$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…d14dbacked No | 1c | 1,850$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…e50abacked No | 27c | 1,738$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce75…588abacked No | 31c | 1,612$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 69c | 1,605$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.67 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 1,592$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed Yes | 76c | 1,560$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed No | 17c | 1,550$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.37 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…3348backed No | 6c | 1,534$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 20cpaid | +279.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…b464backed No | 20c | 1,457$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…18cfbacked No | 26c | 1,408$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…9a86backed No | 30c | 1,367$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Yes | 78c | 1,346$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6798…76a2backed No | 4c | 1,326$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 20c | 1,307$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…2b12backed No | 2c | 1,303$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…6bb4backed No | 3c | 1,296$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a6…fe97backed No | 1c | 1,227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4a1bbacked No | 21c | 1,224$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…4a6dbacked No | 21c | 1,209$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…974bbacked No | 25c | 1,195$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…66b6backed No | 3c | 1,160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 16c | 1,118$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…02a1backed No | 4c | 1,111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +303.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 2c | 1,098$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…9a17backed No | 19c | 1,060$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 23c | 1,022$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.72 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…b246backed No | 2c | 999.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 78c | 992.49$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…6e59backed No | 13c | 977$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +246.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked No | 22c | 910.1$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 17c | 900.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…dba3backed No | 26c | 896.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed No | 17c | 892.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…15adbacked No | 1c | 851.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3034…3d20backed No | 2c | 835.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…0059backed No | 2c | 832.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed No | 17c | 824.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 76c | 800$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…648abacked No | 19c | 771.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…98bebacked No | 27c | 737.27$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…af29backed No | 3c | 722.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…decbbacked No | 10c | 698.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 72c | 693.71$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…9ec9backed No | 23c | 682.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed No | 37c | 676$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…dd7ebacked No | 2c | 663.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6681…77b9backed No | 33c | 648.45$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed No | 26c | 644.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed No | 3c | 638.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…23c9backed No | 5c | 630.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…88e7backed Yes | 57c | 617.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…3a91backed No | 17c | 614.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.