AI · resolved market
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dfe124d238e2e35733558dfbeb9ca0bb54768d3a19a3cca08b9d0d8c91d8c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed No | 77c | 13,732$10,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…795ebacked Yes | 22c | 6,043$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 11c | 4,028$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.83 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…ee46backed Yes | 0c | 3,910$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 3,811$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…78bdbacked Yes | 13c | 3,763$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…12abbacked Yes | 5c | 3,693$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…d1c3backed Yes | 9c | 3,380$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…6992backed Yes | 13c | 3,036$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536f…ca28backed Yes | 14c | 1,955$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 51c | 1,924$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.19 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…afd4backed Yes | 2c | 1,818$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…cf52backed Yes | 27c | 1,652$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,606$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed No | 70c | 1,514$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 77c | 1,495$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.71 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63b…e23dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,439$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc019…74e3backed Yes | 8c | 1,392$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,117$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…8514backed Yes | 2c | 1,107$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc8…08f5backed Yes | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…f2bebacked Yes | 3c | 1,099$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,077$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…78f9backed Yes | 12c | 1,061$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 10c | 964.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d8…5dc6backed Yes | 10c | 956.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…b1c3backed Yes | 12c | 838.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 29c | 817.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…4aa3backed Yes | 3c | 813.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 13c | 775.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 13c | 768.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…7184backed Yes | 13c | 750.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…f01fbacked Yes | 5c | 731.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…7e6dbacked Yes | 4c | 703.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 48c | 573.62$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.18 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 554.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 19c | 524.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…c000backed Yes | 13c | 519.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 509.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…3348backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 20cpaid | +279.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…1373backed Yes | 6c | 476.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…82b8backed Yes | 66c | 452.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157d…afecbacked Yes | 3c | 448.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 62c | 443.34$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.07 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | +17.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed Yes | 5c | 438.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 23c | 411$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…5cdcbacked No | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…5e1cbacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…8597backed Yes | 39c | 385$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 4c | 366.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 366.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 15c | 322.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…09f3backed Yes | 8c | 319.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852b…2b7abacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 17c | 303.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…efffbacked Yes | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked Yes | 9c | 271$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 7c | 222$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Yes | 29c | 219.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 23c | 207.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…6a58backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c9…2ef8backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…06e1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…4eb4backed Yes | 50c | 199.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…f21dbacked Yes | 8c | 190$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…416cbacked No | 52c | 172.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 24c | 167.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked No | 77c | 144.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…4b47backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…0df3backed Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3148…f943backed Yes | 10c | 135.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…fc80backed Yes | 18c | 133.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…cf08backed Yes | 29c | 132.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…8be6backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…5b25backed Yes | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…3405backed Yes | 14c | 118.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…4289backed Yes | 17c | 116.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked Yes | 20c | 114.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…2ab7backed Yes | 17c | 113.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…26debacked Yes | 17c | 112.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 47c | 111.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd3…7656backed Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…8685backed Yes | 16c | 109.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…5472backed Yes | 12c | 107.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked No | 44c | 105.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…4aeebacked Yes | 19c | 103.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…d3ebbacked Yes | 13c | 101.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…351fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…ea72backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.