TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3690…e16f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,287
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT76755.4%425 W · 342 L+40.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 767 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$125.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$484.72
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.74
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.71
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$16.6
Will Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$9.68
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.05
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$42.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$32.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.95
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$12.1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.03
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$27.77
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$69.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$67.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.32
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$29.97
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.83
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$33.07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.94
Showing 25 of 767 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10330.1%31 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$206.33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.94
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$337.38
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$38.86
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$351.12
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.81
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.78
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+2,417.1%+$731.9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.83
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.68
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.75
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$68.9
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$126.7
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$68.99
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.98
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$60.52
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.2
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+229.1%+$248.78
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.98
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.93
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$49.64
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$66.66
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.24
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.25
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.33
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$24.75
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$26.79
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$35.72
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+249.9%+$214.25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$95.13
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.98
Will Algeria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$67.6
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$820.74
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.93
Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.13
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$532.01
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.74
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 12.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$73.76
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$23.6
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$138.82
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.02
Will "Nemesis" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.29
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.4
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.27
Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.51
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9.5m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.07
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$298.68
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$54.97
Will "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.65
Will "ONE PIECE" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will "Lazarus" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will "DAN DA DAN Season 2" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$15.35
Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+238.8%+$387.63
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.27
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.73
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT5633.9%19 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,967Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$504.53
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.76
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+470.5%+$2,037.82
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.49
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.29
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$108.28
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$412.81
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.98
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$25.52
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$36.3
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.02
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$52.87
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.87
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.96
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39%+$94.49
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$98.91
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.82
Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$41.67
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.95
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,502.94
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT4856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+298.7%+$3,893.06
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$310.29
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$328.25
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33%+$360.62
Will VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$214.96
Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.47
Will VOX (VOX) win 19-21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$64.51
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.45
Will Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.18
Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.33
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+163.6%+$293.23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$88.09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$10.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$36.53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.16
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$13.27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53%+$137.58
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$40.23
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$201.76
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+547.3%+$207.8
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.76
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$100.17
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.42
Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$32.06
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.69
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.58
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$367.18
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$138.92
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.12
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,545.49
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$791.99
Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$56.82
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.77
Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$14.14
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$20.85
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.99
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,839Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$785.22
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$1,426.68
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,609.08
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$64.36
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$93.44
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$77.53
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$7.26
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$26.82
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.8
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$574.64
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.69
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$427.29
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034.43
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$550.35
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$37.01
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.33
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.5% and 1.8%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.83
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$54.85
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.01
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$29.07
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$39.64
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$110.06
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$126.1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.57
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$64.8
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+60%+$77.94
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.24
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$26.15
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.81
All 25 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$2.96
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$20.08
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.15
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.29
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.76
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.25
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$285.58
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.97
Will Micware's market cap be between $450M and $550M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+240.5%+$96.06
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.24
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+199%+$648.92
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$432.93
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $1.1B and $1.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$357.51
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.19
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+215.9%+$680.67
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.8
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$70.7
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $3.25B and $4.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be at least $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$53.1
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.38
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $400M and $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$38.22
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.97
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$287.93
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$176.6
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.73
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$934.73
Will Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New York Knicks be the 2026 NBA Finals matchup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$31.62
Will San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks be the 2026 NBA Finals matchup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.13
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Will Indiana Pacers receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$28.78
Will Washington Wizards receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.46
All 14 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.84
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.49
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.09
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$95.47
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$77.07
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.95
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+62.9%+$38.28
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-53.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+144.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$138.79
Will Cruz Azul win Liga MX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Chandler fight Conor McGregor next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$43.3
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Felix Rosenqvist win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PARIVISION win DreamLeague Season 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lecce place 17th for the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.