Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa13f31cceaf10ed3190df6e2aca0a93ab0d6fb46fd279003f17d4cdccee164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,999,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,262,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,999,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,890 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 68c | 556,417$377,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,715.86 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 26c | 358,240$91,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,812.29 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 40c | 218,697$87,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,703.67 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 44c | 173,082$76,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,992.39 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Yes | 62c | 144,147$89,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,921.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed No | 31c | 140,847$44,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,290.05 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…5bedbacked No | 39c | 105,818$41,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,576.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 17c | 98,961$17,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,067.58 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 21c | 95,176$20,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,383.77 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 21c | 93,677$19,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,678.51 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 26c | 90,734$23,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,522.96 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 63c | 87,463$54,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,502.18 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 60c | 85,730$51,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,772.48 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…cf37backed No | 35c | 72,597$25,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,534.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 35c | 67,950$23,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,830.32 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed No | 31c | 65,231$20,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,325 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 42c | 62,236$26,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,107.58 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…e423backed Yes | 64c | 62,002$39,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,278.27 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 34c | 55,691$19,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,094.17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 14c | 53,736$7,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,708.34 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 13c | 53,130$6,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,644.55 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 29c | 48,774$14,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,034.82 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed No | 26c | 46,623$12,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,272.92 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 25c | 46,511$11,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,689.84 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 70c | 46,177$32,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,674.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 65c | 45,820$29,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,995.75 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 19c | 40,510$7,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,625.49 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed No | 21c | 38,600$7,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,925.16 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 38c | 38,305$14,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,515.98 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 38c | 35,655$13,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,452.08 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 29c | 33,392$9,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,627.32 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…1a33backed No | 47c | 31,631$14,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,903 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 28c | 30,956$8,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,806.2 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 41c | 30,305$12,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,365.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 41c | 28,049$11,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,554.6 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 67c | 27,859$18,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,242.51 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 34c | 27,299$9,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,416.94 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 26,800$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…1f6ebacked No | 27c | 25,850$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,097.07 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed No | 48c | 25,546$12,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,226.45 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 69c | 25,150$17,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,843.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,499.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 17c | 25,000$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.96 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 25c | 24,310$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,016.28 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 48c | 22,145$10,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,719.09 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…7228backed No | 35c | 21,870$7,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,761.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed No | 16c | 21,293$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 72c | 20,985$15,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,831.85 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed No | 35c | 20,373$7,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,126.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…a593backed Yes | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed No | 31c | 19,985$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 42c | 19,324$8,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,293.17 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed No | 59c | 18,709$10,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,968.78 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…40a3backed Yes | 72c | 18,389$13,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 69c | 18,074$12,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.61 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 64c | 17,487$11,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,255.21 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 9c | 16,750$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 16c | 16,255$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.13 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 5c | 16,245$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked No | 46c | 16,086$7,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,369.32 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 8c | 15,698$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.86 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 6c | 15,514$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.29 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked Yes | 71c | 15,280$10,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.51 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 68c | 15,192$10,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.79 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed No | 33c | 15,000$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,909.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 19c | 14,789$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.62 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 17c | 14,482$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.37 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked No | 5c | 14,256$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.2 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked Yes | 71c | 14,133$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4400…901dbacked No | 25c | 13,980$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f14backed Yes | 52c | 13,449$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…8f75backed No | 69c | 12,710$8,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,767.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…2b0fbacked No | 47c | 12,639$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,984.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 34c | 12,639$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.82 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 73c | 12,579$9,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.82 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed No | 59c | 12,517$7,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,348.33 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 36c | 12,467$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.44 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 16c | 12,298$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 31c | 12,229$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.51 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…99e2backed Yes | 54c | 12,162$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,611.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…c803backed Yes | 80c | 12,087$9,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked No | 11c | 11,966$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.95 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…3a16backed Yes | 35c | 11,960$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.32 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +8.1wins | +0.58per pick | 35cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed No | 33c | 11,549$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.7 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…07aabacked Yes | 54c | 11,479$6,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…85debacked No | 12c | 11,419$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.18 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8d3fbacked No | 35c | 11,314$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 18c | 11,000$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.06 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 41c | 10,880$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.81 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed Yes | 72c | 10,585$7,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.52 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked No | 10c | 10,393$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…644fbacked No | 46c | 10,387$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 41c | 10,270$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.22 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked No | 48c | 9,886$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed No | 29c | 9,762$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 21c | 9,732$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 47c | 9,707$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.54 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…ae15backed No | 8c | 9,489$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 22c | 9,478$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.5 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.