Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9967297556e4fd7f7e1e688a2e44d6fdbc42b0700576a1e4e67aa37764ac640a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,840,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,837,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,840,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc5…afc9backed Yes | 0c | 111,819$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.14 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +251%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…f0adbacked Yes | 44c | 81,089$36,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,044.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 2c | 75,168$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.77 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafa…db1dbacked Yes | 0c | 70,277$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 17c | 52,692$8,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,767.32 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked Yes | 58c | 51,728$29,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,807.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 63c | 51,286$32,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,813.4 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 10c | 35,339$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.03 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 55c | 19,972$11,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.58 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 60c | 18,951$11,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,316.49 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed Yes | 0c | 16,500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 16,100$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 36c | 16,036$5,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,835.79 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…f7a2backed Yes | 2c | 14,829$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 8c | 14,556$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed No | 47c | 13,903$6,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,351.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…5cacbacked No | 61c | 11,427$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,427.94 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 45c | 11,136$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.98 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed No | 41c | 10,918$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,457.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 8c | 10,903$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.39 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…0505backed Yes | 0c | 10,679$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…9be5backed Yes | 3c | 10,651$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed No | 66c | 10,232$6,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.77 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 36c | 10,120$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,485.2 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Yes | 60c | 10,088$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.08 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 9c | 9,289$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.94 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed No | 78c | 9,100$7,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 65c | 9,020$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.23 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…cd61backed No | 69c | 9,012$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…414bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…79f4backed Yes | 6c | 8,973$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Yes | 5c | 8,766$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.29 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 47c | 8,571$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,571 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 42c | 8,452$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905.97 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 43c | 8,082$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.93 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 37c | 7,375$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648.93 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 9c | 7,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.9 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked Yes | 7c | 6,808$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.45 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 34c | 6,763$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.65 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 5c | 6,554$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.78 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 11c | 6,477$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.19 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 25c | 6,318$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.77 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked Yes | 55c | 5,995$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.38 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 52c | 5,759$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.93 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 12c | 5,728$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.18 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 39c | 5,594$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.55 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 16c | 5,484$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 56c | 5,348$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.93 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 37c | 5,217$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 52c | 5,156$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.33 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 77c | 5,050$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.44 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 8c | 5,043$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed No | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.98 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 46c | 4,949$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.43 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 6c | 4,545$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,384$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.18 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 59c | 4,373$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.49 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 63c | 4,102$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.91 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…f5c2backed No | 44c | 4,041$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…62a5backed No | 80c | 3,843$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.62 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed No | 62c | 3,660$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.41 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked No | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,536$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed No | 50c | 3,491$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.9 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 49c | 3,450$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.41 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 45c | 3,430$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.39 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed No | 55c | 3,333$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.82 | 159 | 22.6%36 W · 123 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked No | 45c | 3,205$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.94 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 3,165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 21c | 3,140$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.49 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 51c | 2,907$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.35 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…4f61backed No | 66c | 2,872$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 46c | 2,850$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.19 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 79c | 2,806$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.74 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 66c | 2,798$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 33c | 2,544$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.57 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 55c | 2,541$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.54 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…c2f0backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 6c | 2,392$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 76c | 2,292$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.54 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 2,205$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,199$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…109dbacked Yes | 64c | 2,176$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.68 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 37c | 2,119$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.36 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,090$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f82ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,039$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked No | 40c | 2,017$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0689…5813backed No | 78c | 1,990$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…61b0backed No | 58c | 1,977$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.23 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 32c | 1,888$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.4 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…805abacked Yes | 69c | 1,878$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 76c | 1,874$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.87 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 47c | 1,872$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 14c | 1,867$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.62 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.