Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c31c73a5447ef744d271098ce51594afa5a521fe367c07f7138c868703d693f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,280,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,298,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,280,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d16…e798backed Yes | 13c | 61,423$7,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,793 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 10c | 55,820$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.24 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 55,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 43c | 31,839$13,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,756.79 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Yes | 29c | 30,542$8,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,870.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 44c | 29,451$13,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,064.02 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…d84dbacked Yes | 1c | 26,692$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 34c | 25,420$8,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,666.35 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed Yes | 35c | 22,715$7,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,917.93 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 54c | 21,996$11,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,788.34 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…ac27backed Yes | 58c | 21,827$12,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,730.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…2a4ebacked Yes | 8c | 20,299$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 56c | 19,703$11,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,670.28 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked Yes | 43c | 19,278$8,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,309.55 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 56c | 18,875$10,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,317.22 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 39c | 17,686$6,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,753.44 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked No | 66c | 17,065$11,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.06 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked Yes | 32c | 16,966$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.51 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…074abacked Yes | 3c | 16,681$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.08 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 57c | 16,255$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200.29 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 7c | 16,066$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.25 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196d…dc4fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,888$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 29c | 15,615$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.82 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 41c | 14,734$6,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,085.87 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…0fc7backed No | 77c | 14,643$11,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.31 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…a68abacked No | 75c | 14,138$10,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.86 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…1feabacked Yes | 22c | 14,043$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.21 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 22c | 13,982$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.61 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…534bbacked No | 49c | 13,367$6,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,806.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 57c | 12,171$6,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.04 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 58c | 12,126$7,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,054.84 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee9…2673backed No | 52c | 11,567$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,527.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 32cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 65c | 10,606$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.28 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 53c | 10,520$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.78 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…cd61backed Yes | 35c | 10,241$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 9,826$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 39c | 9,796$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.41 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 64c | 8,858$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.77 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 42c | 8,668$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.8 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 58c | 7,843$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.41 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 29c | 7,266$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.6 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 56c | 7,188$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.29 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 60c | 7,144$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.6 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…46ecbacked Yes | 44c | 7,000$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…87cbbacked Yes | 46c | 6,860$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.75 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 80c | 6,761$5,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.52 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 41c | 6,403$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.51 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 1c | 6,366$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 12c | 6,180$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.41 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked No | 57c | 6,168$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +443.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…5d9bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…0597backed Yes | 1c | 6,068$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 53c | 6,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 10c | 6,000$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 78c | 5,926$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.1 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…fd2fbacked No | 76c | 5,673$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed No | 42c | 5,553$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.44 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 58c | 5,482$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.99 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked Yes | 54c | 5,438$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 44c | 5,430$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.16 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa88a…3e8cbacked Yes | 72c | 5,268$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.79 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +197.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…fa3ebacked No | 75c | 5,139$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 26c | 5,134$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.62 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed No | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.56per pick | 17cpaid | +549%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 53c | 4,994$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.33 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…0c77backed Yes | 44c | 4,982$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 25c | 4,970$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,887$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.92 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…71e8backed Yes | 44c | 4,850$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…4f15backed No | 39c | 4,753$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.26 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 47c | 4,721$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.5 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…928fbacked Yes | 47c | 4,582$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…92f3backed Yes | 2c | 4,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…3a2ebacked Yes | 77c | 4,400$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 53c | 4,277$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.19 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…fb97backed Yes | 36c | 4,142$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.58 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 54c | 4,136$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.13 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Yes | 46c | 4,135$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.18 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +259.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 71c | 4,111$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 56c | 4,042$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.83 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed No | 33c | 4,042$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.91 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…4dd9backed Yes | 9c | 3,866$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 26cpaid | +400.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 41c | 3,800$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 44c | 3,797$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.6 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 70c | 3,782$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 62c | 3,751$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.86 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…a142backed No | 39c | 3,694$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 25c | 3,683$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.57 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 64c | 3,618$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.59 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 21c | 3,607$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.14 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 33c | 3,592$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.52 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 46c | 3,553$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.73 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 29c | 3,512$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.55 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 57c | 3,471$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.52 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 77c | 3,386$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.95 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed No | 54c | 3,385$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.54 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.