TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93ef…468b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
346
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT13450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiujiang: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.37
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.42
Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+400%+$679.94
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$250.94
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baezbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$2,069.96
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.23
Madrid Open: Dalma Galfi vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.16
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.98
Madrid Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.98
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolinabacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$2,519.89
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Petra Marcinkobacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$272.99
Gwangju: Ilia Simakin vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$75.9
Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Karan Singhbacked Karan Singh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.75
Abidjan: Michael Geerts vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,408
Abidjan: Maxime Chazal vs Millen Hurrionbacked Maxime Chazal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$571.99
Savannah: Michael Antonius vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Michael Antonius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Savannah: J.J. Wolf vs Thomas Faurelbacked J.J. Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Savannah: Andres Martin vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$551
Savannah: Michael Mmoh vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$830
Shymkent: Bekkhan Atlangeriev vs Viktor Durasovicbacked Viktor Durasovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.05
Abidjan: Aziz Dougaz vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$114.02
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rochabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$370.94
Rome: Dan Added vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$101.86
Shymkent: Max Wiskandt vs Mathys Erhardbacked Max Wiskandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$666.6
Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakinbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$74.1
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6947.8%33 W · 36 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$716.87
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.99
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,895Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$1,505.2
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$992
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$1,420
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$169.23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,922Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$3,718.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+149.2%+$1,377
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$595
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+310.3%+$2,042
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+243.9%+$1,844
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$106.2
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.54
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50.92
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,738.84
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+90.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+1,395.4%+$925.72
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.28
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,651.21
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$971.43
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.21
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,840
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.42
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,600
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$569.76
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.62
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,060
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$20,500
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.99
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.43
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,091Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$2,165.35
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.19
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$298.8
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,493.98
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.53
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$42.38
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.18
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$111.68
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$1,045.33
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,568.15
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$155.99
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.29
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.7%+$90.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.98
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 21?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,323.99
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,997.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,863Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$597.67
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$1,005.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-84.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68%+$54.38
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.43
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$3,190.25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,921.73
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$405.92
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+203%+$174.19
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$148
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,795.09
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,978.87
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$447.79
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$105.44
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-69.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.88
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.68
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$356
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$101.5
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+79.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-77.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.54
Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$487.63
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.04
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.31
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.37
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+195.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$689
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,417Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$3,183
Flames vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$552
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+125%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.5
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$404.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$804.95
Will Netflix reach $105 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+525%+$487.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$273.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.