TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,459 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6964…ef53backed Yes20c13,968$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.5966222.2%147 W · 515 L-34.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes22c13,548$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581c…7b47backed Yes39c9,505$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes16c8,094$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.11944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Yes24c8,046$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.7410727.1%29 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes18c6,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0805635.7%20 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes33c5,374$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.16825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6702…2539backed Yes70c5,209$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,191$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.372,1633.9%85 W · 2,078 L+5.8wins0.00per pick4cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed No62c5,000$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9151225%3 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3b…63a1backed Yes63c4,985$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd897…9b49backed No71c4,584$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.866157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…25a8backed Yes27c3,321$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes15c2,918$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.674839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8168…90e7backed Yes11c2,901$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.373154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes17c2,855$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.743030%9 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0d…8ea3backed Yes19c2,678$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Yes42c2,637$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.635822.4%13 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…f46cbacked Yes4c2,400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes7c2,398$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Yes28c2,267$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9f…6d32backed Yes20c2,001$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes13c1,889$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.341196.7%8 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes7c1,718$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.454568.3%38 W · 418 L+1.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes20c1,649$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.559225.3%150 W · 442 L+2.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf407…9201backed Yes72c1,585$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc731…8998backed Yes26c1,524$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes11c1,513$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.212727%19 W · 253 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+83.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e5…6412backed No30c1,510$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked No75c1,483$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.012972.4%21 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes68c1,466$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8e…cf2cbacked Yes14c1,450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes60c1,436$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.3232716.8%55 W · 272 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b6…8250backed Yes28c1,430$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes23c1,391$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.621238.1%10 W · 113 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4329…4e20backed Yes36c1,364$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+100.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2f…2318backed Yes20c1,242$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce70…8e18backed No44c1,193$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Yes24c1,165$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No76c1,110$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3843933%145 W · 294 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Yes16c1,000$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1646841.2%28 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509911.1%11 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a67…f416backed Yes53c900$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2138…f8a0backed Yes20c880.57$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No62c829.8$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.321844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes28c818.8$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0337830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes61c815.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020129.4%59 W · 142 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c57…010dbacked Yes22c810$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.31127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8f…40cfbacked Yes70c809$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed No75c800$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb368…cbe6backed Yes12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9e2…0474backed Yes18c797.1$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832a…2b3ebacked Yes10c770.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes24c769.57$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.829225%73 W · 219 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes14c767.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5650828.3%144 W · 364 L+1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked No72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb26…4edfbacked Yes15c749$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.981723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Yes72c739.27$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.7210623.6%25 W · 81 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd4…5ec7backed Yes67c727.01$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+140%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2414…f34ebacked Yes20c672.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.61540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes4c654.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4312114%17 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb44c…74e9backed Yes7c654.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes17c652.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.958320.5%17 W · 66 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca65…a45bbacked Yes12c652.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc0…20e5backed No77c650.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6eb…5404backed Yes38c644.74$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ab…ea2fbacked No24c642.77$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8547…39abbacked No39c630.68$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.721040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc7…4572backed Yes24c620$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca03…91b8backed No76c601.09$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3409…6839backed Yes30c600$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4c…c7efbacked No25c590.49$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc11…3636backed Yes25c551.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b70…0329backed Yes24c550.01$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked No56c550$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3810335.9%37 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+108%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b5…80eebacked No54c550$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.921643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…2053backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed Yes67c522.39$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253e…c70abacked Yes64c499.75$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d77…523dbacked Yes7c499$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.934928.6%14 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77e…83a4backed No54c486$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb890…a592backed Yes46c486$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes56c479$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.2450319.5%98 W · 405 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…29d1backed Yes28c476.58$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…4c34backed Yes7c462.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Yes29c461.54$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No75c458.37$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3526167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04f…3470backed Yes38c455.76$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfa…4578backed No72c454$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf468…8340backed No33c446.64$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c47…e9bebacked Yes15c435.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-54.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No79c426.21$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2719550.3%98 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd591…8679backed Yes50c425.36$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No62c407.14$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9731565.1%205 W · 110 L-1.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3301…95bfbacked Yes71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6a…be7ebacked Yes25c400$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No59c398.27$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.027556%42 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2a…6f46backed No79c396.62$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.31812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-84.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb37…6883backed Yes29c396.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.