TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x201a…66a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
309
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20129.4%59 W · 142 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 201 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.93
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$299.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+651.5%+$433.45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$134.89
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$256.46
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.95
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.89
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$382.72
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$218.34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$663.01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.61
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$238.67
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.65
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.95
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+139.4%+$408.17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.7
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.99
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$216.26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.1
Showing 25 of 201 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT4337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,032.84
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$127.86
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.75
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.41
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.73
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.42
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$979.49
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$511.6
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.63
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$224.75
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.54
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-14.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$407.74
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$624.5
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$71.69
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Sabres vs. Krakenbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Panthers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Capitals vs. Jetsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Oilers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Sharks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Senators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Ducks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$97.6
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Spread: Bears (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+121.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$102.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22.44
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$141.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.